Traders see no dominant leader in the text-to-image space because recent releases from multiple labs have produced closely matched benchmark results on arenas like Artificial Analysis and LMArena. OpenAI’s GPT Image 2.5 variants hold top Elo scores after early-September updates, yet Microsoft’s MAI-Image-2.6 (launched August) sits just behind with strong editing and efficiency gains, while Reve 2.1, Google’s Nano Banana family, and others deliver competitive photorealism, text rendering, or layout control. The spread across Luma AI, Ideogram, Black Forest Labs, Recraft, and ByteDance reflects subjective criteria and rapid iteration cycles, with new model drops or benchmark shifts before late November likely to swing sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Luma AI 32%
阿里巴巴 26%
Black Forest Labs 26%
Recraft 21%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
Luma AI
32%
阿里巴巴
26%
Black Forest Labs
26%
Recraft
21%
Reve
18%
微软AI
18%
字节跳动
18%
腾讯
18%
谷歌
16%
OpenAI
15%
Meta
14%
SpaceXAI
14%
Ideogram
14%
Luma AI 32%
阿里巴巴 26%
Black Forest Labs 26%
Recraft 21%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
Luma AI
$0 交易量
32%
阿里巴巴
$0 交易量
26%
Black Forest Labs
$0 交易量
26%
Recraft
$0 交易量
21%
Reve
$0 交易量
18%
微软AI
$0 交易量
18%
字节跳动
$0 交易量
18%
腾讯
$0 交易量
18%
谷歌
$0 交易量
16%
OpenAI
$0 交易量
15%
Meta
$0 交易量
14%
SpaceXAI
$0 交易量
14%
Ideogram
$0 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see no dominant leader in the text-to-image space because recent releases from multiple labs have produced closely matched benchmark results on arenas like Artificial Analysis and LMArena. OpenAI’s GPT Image 2.5 variants hold top Elo scores after early-September updates, yet Microsoft’s MAI-Image-2.6 (launched August) sits just behind with strong editing and efficiency gains, while Reve 2.1, Google’s Nano Banana family, and others deliver competitive photorealism, text rendering, or layout control. The spread across Luma AI, Ideogram, Black Forest Labs, Recraft, and ByteDance reflects subjective criteria and rapid iteration cycles, with new model drops or benchmark shifts before late November likely to swing sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-12-01市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see no dominant leader in the text-to-image space because recent releases from multiple labs have produced closely matched benchmark results on arenas like Artificial Analysis and LMArena. OpenAI’s GPT Image 2.5 variants hold top Elo scores after early-September updates, yet Microsoft’s MAI-Image-2.6 (launched August) sits just behind with strong editing and efficiency gains, while Reve 2.1, Google’s Nano Banana family, and others deliver competitive photorealism, text rendering, or layout control. The spread across Luma AI, Ideogram, Black Forest Labs, Recraft, and ByteDance reflects subjective criteria and rapid iteration cycles, with new model drops or benchmark shifts before late November likely to swing sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-12-01市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ETTraders see no dominant leader in the text-to-image space because recent releases from multiple labs have produced closely matched benchmark results on arenas like Artificial Analysis and LMArena. OpenAI’s GPT Image 2.5 variants hold top Elo scores after early-September updates, yet Microsoft’s MAI-Image-2.6 (launched August) sits just behind with strong editing and efficiency gains, while Reve 2.1, Google’s Nano Banana family, and others deliver competitive photorealism, text rendering, or layout control. The spread across Luma AI, Ideogram, Black Forest Labs, Recraft, and ByteDance reflects subjective criteria and rapid iteration cycles, with new model drops or benchmark shifts before late November likely to swing sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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