Intense competition among multiple labs drives the fragmented trader sentiment, with no single leader emerging ahead of the late-October assessment. Recent 2026 releases such as ByteDance’s Seedance 2.5 (30-second 4K clips with local editing and long-video beta), Kling 3.0 (cinematic motion, native audio sync, and multi-shot “AI Director” sequences), Google Veo 3.1 (high-fidelity realism and granular controls), and updates to Luma Ray, Runway Gen-4, and OpenAI Sora 2 have kept capabilities close on benchmarks for prompt adherence, physics, and consistency. Differentiators like commercial licensing, API access, generation length, and reference-image handling remain key swing factors, while frequent model iterations and third-party evaluations continue to shift relative positioning in this fast-evolving text-to-video space.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于腾讯 46%
谷歌 46%
阿里巴巴/阿里巴巴-ATH 46%
字节跳动 45%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
腾讯
46%
谷歌
46%
阿里巴巴/阿里巴巴-ATH
46%
字节跳动
45%
Lightricks
45%
Meta
45%
SpaceXAI
44%
Pika
43%
KlingAI
37%
Pruna
27%
Luma AI
27%
Kandinsky
27%
Pixverse
27%
Runway
26%
MiniMax
41%
Genmo AI
43%
OpenAI
43%
腾讯 46%
谷歌 46%
阿里巴巴/阿里巴巴-ATH 46%
字节跳动 45%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
腾讯
$0 交易量
46%
谷歌
$0 交易量
46%
阿里巴巴/阿里巴巴-ATH
$0 交易量
46%
字节跳动
$0 交易量
45%
Lightricks
$0 交易量
45%
Meta
$0 交易量
45%
SpaceXAI
$0 交易量
44%
Pika
$0 交易量
43%
KlingAI
$0 交易量
37%
Pruna
$0 交易量
27%
Luma AI
$0 交易量
27%
Kandinsky
$0 交易量
27%
Pixverse
$0 交易量
27%
Runway
$0 交易量
26%
MiniMax
$20 交易量
41%
Genmo AI
$20 交易量
43%
OpenAI
$0 交易量
43%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Intense competition among multiple labs drives the fragmented trader sentiment, with no single leader emerging ahead of the late-October assessment. Recent 2026 releases such as ByteDance’s Seedance 2.5 (30-second 4K clips with local editing and long-video beta), Kling 3.0 (cinematic motion, native audio sync, and multi-shot “AI Director” sequences), Google Veo 3.1 (high-fidelity realism and granular controls), and updates to Luma Ray, Runway Gen-4, and OpenAI Sora 2 have kept capabilities close on benchmarks for prompt adherence, physics, and consistency. Differentiators like commercial licensing, API access, generation length, and reference-image handling remain key swing factors, while frequent model iterations and third-party evaluations continue to shift relative positioning in this fast-evolving text-to-video space.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
交易量
$40结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Intense competition among multiple labs drives the fragmented trader sentiment, with no single leader emerging ahead of the late-October assessment. Recent 2026 releases such as ByteDance’s Seedance 2.5 (30-second 4K clips with local editing and long-video beta), Kling 3.0 (cinematic motion, native audio sync, and multi-shot “AI Director” sequences), Google Veo 3.1 (high-fidelity realism and granular controls), and updates to Luma Ray, Runway Gen-4, and OpenAI Sora 2 have kept capabilities close on benchmarks for prompt adherence, physics, and consistency. Differentiators like commercial licensing, API access, generation length, and reference-image handling remain key swing factors, while frequent model iterations and third-party evaluations continue to shift relative positioning in this fast-evolving text-to-video space.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$40结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Intense competition among multiple labs drives the fragmented trader sentiment, with no single leader emerging ahead of the late-October assessment. Recent 2026 releases such as ByteDance’s Seedance 2.5 (30-second 4K clips with local editing and long-video beta), Kling 3.0 (cinematic motion, native audio sync, and multi-shot “AI Director” sequences), Google Veo 3.1 (high-fidelity realism and granular controls), and updates to Luma Ray, Runway Gen-4, and OpenAI Sora 2 have kept capabilities close on benchmarks for prompt adherence, physics, and consistency. Differentiators like commercial licensing, API access, generation length, and reference-image handling remain key swing factors, while frequent model iterations and third-party evaluations continue to shift relative positioning in this fast-evolving text-to-video space.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题