The market's evenly split 50% odds across many contenders and lower figures for frontrunners like OpenAI and Anthropic highlight the fragmented state of AI agent development, with no lab holding a clear edge two months from resolution. Rapid progress in large language model capabilities, tool integration, and multi-step reasoning keeps rankings fluid as labs pursue different architectures and benchmarks. Competitive dynamics include established players advancing agent autonomy alongside emerging efforts from Chinese firms and smaller specialists, where recent releases and internal milestones have yet to consolidate a consensus third-place position. Traders appear to price in continued uncertainty until clearer capability demonstrations or developer conferences arrive.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic 26%
OpenAI 26%
Z.ai 26%
SpaceXAI 26%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
Anthropic
26%
OpenAI
26%
Z.ai
26%
SpaceXAI
26%
阿里巴巴
26%
26%
Moonshot
26%
DeepSeek
26%
小米
26%
MiniMax
26%
英伟达
26%
字节跳动
26%
百度
26%
美团
26%
微软
26%
Meta
23%
亚马逊
23%
Mistral
23%
Anthropic 26%
OpenAI 26%
Z.ai 26%
SpaceXAI 26%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
Anthropic
$27 交易量
26%
OpenAI
$27 交易量
26%
Z.ai
$27 交易量
26%
SpaceXAI
$27 交易量
26%
阿里巴巴
$27 交易量
26%
$27 交易量
26%
Moonshot
$27 交易量
26%
DeepSeek
$27 交易量
26%
小米
$27 交易量
26%
MiniMax
$27 交易量
26%
英伟达
$27 交易量
26%
字节跳动
$27 交易量
26%
百度
$27 交易量
26%
美团
$27 交易量
26%
微软
$27 交易量
26%
Meta
$32 交易量
23%
亚马逊
$27 交易量
23%
Mistral
$32 交易量
23%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The market's evenly split 50% odds across many contenders and lower figures for frontrunners like OpenAI and Anthropic highlight the fragmented state of AI agent development, with no lab holding a clear edge two months from resolution. Rapid progress in large language model capabilities, tool integration, and multi-step reasoning keeps rankings fluid as labs pursue different architectures and benchmarks. Competitive dynamics include established players advancing agent autonomy alongside emerging efforts from Chinese firms and smaller specialists, where recent releases and internal milestones have yet to consolidate a consensus third-place position. Traders appear to price in continued uncertainty until clearer capability demonstrations or developer conferences arrive.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
交易量
$496结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The market's evenly split 50% odds across many contenders and lower figures for frontrunners like OpenAI and Anthropic highlight the fragmented state of AI agent development, with no lab holding a clear edge two months from resolution. Rapid progress in large language model capabilities, tool integration, and multi-step reasoning keeps rankings fluid as labs pursue different architectures and benchmarks. Competitive dynamics include established players advancing agent autonomy alongside emerging efforts from Chinese firms and smaller specialists, where recent releases and internal milestones have yet to consolidate a consensus third-place position. Traders appear to price in continued uncertainty until clearer capability demonstrations or developer conferences arrive.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$496结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's evenly split 50% odds across many contenders and lower figures for frontrunners like OpenAI and Anthropic highlight the fragmented state of AI agent development, with no lab holding a clear edge two months from resolution. Rapid progress in large language model capabilities, tool integration, and multi-step reasoning keeps rankings fluid as labs pursue different architectures and benchmarks. Competitive dynamics include established players advancing agent autonomy alongside emerging efforts from Chinese firms and smaller specialists, where recent releases and internal milestones have yet to consolidate a consensus third-place position. Traders appear to price in continued uncertainty until clearer capability demonstrations or developer conferences arrive.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题