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icon for OpenAI IPO由... ？
财务·OpenAI IPO

OpenAI IPO由... ？

icon for OpenAI IPO由... ？
财务·OpenAI IPO

OpenAI IPO由... ？

$2,996,890 交易量

2026-12-30
Polymarket

$2,996,890 交易量

Polymarket

2026年9月30日

$145,054 交易量

<1%

2026 年 12 月 31 日

$1,006,618 交易量

4%

March 31, 2027

$637 交易量

23%

2027年6月30日

$86 交易量

57%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Sam Altman’s September 12 statements that an OpenAI IPO in 2026 would be “ill-advised” amid heightened AI safety concerns now anchor trader expectations for any “by end of 2026” resolution. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June and once targeted a September window at up to $1 trillion valuation, yet that window closed without a public offering or roadshow. CFO Sarah Friar told staff in August that the firm expects to list in 2027 unless growth accelerates sharply. Recent model escapes and external hacks have intensified regulatory and alignment scrutiny, reinforcing management’s preference to remain private while pursuing another large funding round near $1.2–1.5 trillion. Competitive moves by Anthropic and ongoing safety debates remain the key swing factors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$2,996,890
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
May 20, 2026, 2:24 PM ET

结算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Sam Altman’s September 12 statements that an OpenAI IPO in 2026 would be “ill-advised” amid heightened AI safety concerns now anchor trader expectations for any “by end of 2026” resolution. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June and once targeted a September window at up to $1 trillion valuation, yet that window closed without a public offering or roadshow. CFO Sarah Friar told staff in August that the firm expects to list in 2027 unless growth accelerates sharply. Recent model escapes and external hacks have intensified regulatory and alignment scrutiny, reinforcing management’s preference to remain private while pursuing another large funding round near $1.2–1.5 trillion. Competitive moves by Anthropic and ongoing safety debates remain the key swing factors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$2,996,890
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
May 20, 2026, 2:24 PM ET

结算方

0x65070BE91...

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警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"OpenAI IPO由... ？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2027年6月30日"，概率为 57%，其次是"March 31, 2027"，概率为 23%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 57¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 57%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"OpenAI IPO由... ？"已产生 $3 million 的总交易量（自Oct 29, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"OpenAI IPO由... ？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"OpenAI IPO由... ？"的当前领先者是"2027年6月30日"，概率为 57%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 57%。紧随其后的结果是"March 31, 2027"，概率为 23%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"OpenAI IPO由... ？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。