OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and sustained revenue momentum—now exceeding $2 billion monthly with enterprise comprising over 40%—anchor trader expectations for an IPO closing market capitalization above $1 trillion. Latest private rounds valued the company between $730 billion and $852 billion, while secondary share sales and banker preparations signal readiness despite reports of potential slippage into 2027. Market-implied odds favoring the 1.5T+ bucket reflect these fundamentals and AI-sector multiples, tempered by the modest 10.8% probability assigned to missing the December 2027 deadline and ongoing questions around profitability and governance. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 release or further funding updates that could refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.5万亿以上 40.4%
1.25万亿–1.5万亿 22%
1万亿–1.25万亿 18.1%
2027年12月31日前不进行IPO 10.8%
$106,327 交易量
$106,327 交易量
2027-12-31
低于5000亿
1%
5000亿–7500亿美元
2%
7500亿–1万亿
10%
1万亿–1.25万亿
18%
1.25万亿–1.5万亿
22%
1.5万亿以上
40%
2027年12月31日前不进行IPO
11%
1.5万亿以上 40.4%
1.25万亿–1.5万亿 22%
1万亿–1.25万亿 18.1%
2027年12月31日前不进行IPO 10.8%
$106,327 交易量
$106,327 交易量
2027-12-31
低于5000亿
$8,050 交易量
1%
5000亿–7500亿美元
$9,889 交易量
2%
7500亿–1万亿
$10,925 交易量
10%
1万亿–1.25万亿
$15,107 交易量
18%
1.25万亿–1.5万亿
$10,359 交易量
22%
1.5万亿以上
$27,961 交易量
40%
2027年12月31日前不进行IPO
$24,036 交易量
11%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and sustained revenue momentum—now exceeding $2 billion monthly with enterprise comprising over 40%—anchor trader expectations for an IPO closing market capitalization above $1 trillion. Latest private rounds valued the company between $730 billion and $852 billion, while secondary share sales and banker preparations signal readiness despite reports of potential slippage into 2027. Market-implied odds favoring the 1.5T+ bucket reflect these fundamentals and AI-sector multiples, tempered by the modest 10.8% probability assigned to missing the December 2027 deadline and ongoing questions around profitability and governance. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 release or further funding updates that could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
交易量
$106,327结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and sustained revenue momentum—now exceeding $2 billion monthly with enterprise comprising over 40%—anchor trader expectations for an IPO closing market capitalization above $1 trillion. Latest private rounds valued the company between $730 billion and $852 billion, while secondary share sales and banker preparations signal readiness despite reports of potential slippage into 2027. Market-implied odds favoring the 1.5T+ bucket reflect these fundamentals and AI-sector multiples, tempered by the modest 10.8% probability assigned to missing the December 2027 deadline and ongoing questions around profitability and governance. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 release or further funding updates that could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$106,327结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and sustained revenue momentum—now exceeding $2 billion monthly with enterprise comprising over 40%—anchor trader expectations for an IPO closing market capitalization above $1 trillion. Latest private rounds valued the company between $730 billion and $852 billion, while secondary share sales and banker preparations signal readiness despite reports of potential slippage into 2027. Market-implied odds favoring the 1.5T+ bucket reflect these fundamentals and AI-sector multiples, tempered by the modest 10.8% probability assigned to missing the December 2027 deadline and ongoing questions around profitability and governance. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 release or further funding updates that could refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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