Databricks’ recent $5 billion funding round at a $190 billion private valuation, paired with revenue run-rate exceeding $7 billion and 80%+ year-over-year growth, underpins trader expectations for a sizable IPO. CEO Ali Ghodsi’s June 2026 decision to skip a crowded 2026 listing window in favor of 2027 has left the timing and public-market reception uncertain, producing near-even implied probabilities across $150–450 billion closing market-cap bands. Key swing factors include the pace of any S-1 filing, performance of peer AI offerings, sustained free-cash-flow positivity, and broader equity-market conditions entering 2027. The 23% probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027 reflects conviction in an eventual listing while highlighting execution and macro risks that could compress or elevate the debut valuation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2000亿-2500亿美元 94%
2500亿-3000亿美元 94%
3000亿-3500亿美元 94%
3500亿美元-4000亿美元 94%
最新
最新
2027-12-31
低于1500亿美元
-
1500 亿美元-2000 亿美元
-
2000亿-2500亿美元
94%
2500亿-3000亿美元
94%
3000亿-3500亿美元
94%
3500亿美元-4000亿美元
94%
4000亿美元-4500亿美元
-
4500亿以上
-
2027年12月31日前未上市
23%
2000亿-2500亿美元 94%
2500亿-3000亿美元 94%
3000亿-3500亿美元 94%
3500亿美元-4000亿美元 94%
最新
最新
2027-12-31
低于1500亿美元
$18 交易量
-
1500 亿美元-2000 亿美元
$18 交易量
-
2000亿-2500亿美元
$18 交易量
94%
2500亿-3000亿美元
$18 交易量
94%
3000亿-3500亿美元
$18 交易量
94%
3500亿美元-4000亿美元
$18 交易量
94%
4000亿美元-4500亿美元
$18 交易量
-
4500亿以上
$18 交易量
-
2027年12月31日前未上市
$272 交易量
23%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks’ recent $5 billion funding round at a $190 billion private valuation, paired with revenue run-rate exceeding $7 billion and 80%+ year-over-year growth, underpins trader expectations for a sizable IPO. CEO Ali Ghodsi’s June 2026 decision to skip a crowded 2026 listing window in favor of 2027 has left the timing and public-market reception uncertain, producing near-even implied probabilities across $150–450 billion closing market-cap bands. Key swing factors include the pace of any S-1 filing, performance of peer AI offerings, sustained free-cash-flow positivity, and broader equity-market conditions entering 2027. The 23% probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027 reflects conviction in an eventual listing while highlighting execution and macro risks that could compress or elevate the debut valuation.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
交易量
$416结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETThis market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks’ recent $5 billion funding round at a $190 billion private valuation, paired with revenue run-rate exceeding $7 billion and 80%+ year-over-year growth, underpins trader expectations for a sizable IPO. CEO Ali Ghodsi’s June 2026 decision to skip a crowded 2026 listing window in favor of 2027 has left the timing and public-market reception uncertain, producing near-even implied probabilities across $150–450 billion closing market-cap bands. Key swing factors include the pace of any S-1 filing, performance of peer AI offerings, sustained free-cash-flow positivity, and broader equity-market conditions entering 2027. The 23% probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027 reflects conviction in an eventual listing while highlighting execution and macro risks that could compress or elevate the debut valuation.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
交易量
$416结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETDatabricks’ recent $5 billion funding round at a $190 billion private valuation, paired with revenue run-rate exceeding $7 billion and 80%+ year-over-year growth, underpins trader expectations for a sizable IPO. CEO Ali Ghodsi’s June 2026 decision to skip a crowded 2026 listing window in favor of 2027 has left the timing and public-market reception uncertain, producing near-even implied probabilities across $150–450 billion closing market-cap bands. Key swing factors include the pace of any S-1 filing, performance of peer AI offerings, sustained free-cash-flow positivity, and broader equity-market conditions entering 2027. The 23% probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027 reflects conviction in an eventual listing while highlighting execution and macro risks that could compress or elevate the debut valuation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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