Databricks' closely matched probabilities across IPO market-cap bands reflect uncertainty over timing and debut valuation amid rapid private-market growth. The company closed a $5 billion round at a $190 billion valuation in August 2026 after reaching a $7 billion annualized revenue run rate growing over 80% year-over-year, with positive free cash flow. CEO comments in June 2026 cited a crowded 2026 IPO calendar as a reason to defer listing, with no S-1 filing yet and expectations pointing to late 2026 or 2027. This dynamic, combined with private multiples near 27 times revenue and comparable AI infrastructure precedents, spreads trader consensus across ranges while assigning a 23% chance of no IPO by end-2027. Key catalysts include any confidential filing or 2027 market conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于3000亿-3500亿美元 95%
2000亿-2500亿美元 94%
2500亿-3000亿美元 94%
3500亿美元-4000亿美元 94%
最新
最新
2027-12-31
低于1500亿美元
-
1500 亿美元-2000 亿美元
-
2000亿-2500亿美元
94%
2500亿-3000亿美元
94%
3000亿-3500亿美元
95%
3500亿美元-4000亿美元
94%
4000亿美元-4500亿美元
-
4500亿以上
-
2027年12月31日前未上市
23%
3000亿-3500亿美元 95%
2000亿-2500亿美元 94%
2500亿-3000亿美元 94%
3500亿美元-4000亿美元 94%
最新
最新
2027-12-31
低于1500亿美元
$18 交易量
-
1500 亿美元-2000 亿美元
$18 交易量
-
2000亿-2500亿美元
$18 交易量
94%
2500亿-3000亿美元
$18 交易量
94%
3000亿-3500亿美元
$18 交易量
95%
3500亿美元-4000亿美元
$18 交易量
94%
4000亿美元-4500亿美元
$18 交易量
-
4500亿以上
$18 交易量
-
2027年12月31日前未上市
$272 交易量
23%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' closely matched probabilities across IPO market-cap bands reflect uncertainty over timing and debut valuation amid rapid private-market growth. The company closed a $5 billion round at a $190 billion valuation in August 2026 after reaching a $7 billion annualized revenue run rate growing over 80% year-over-year, with positive free cash flow. CEO comments in June 2026 cited a crowded 2026 IPO calendar as a reason to defer listing, with no S-1 filing yet and expectations pointing to late 2026 or 2027. This dynamic, combined with private multiples near 27 times revenue and comparable AI infrastructure precedents, spreads trader consensus across ranges while assigning a 23% chance of no IPO by end-2027. Key catalysts include any confidential filing or 2027 market conditions.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
交易量
$416结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETThis market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' closely matched probabilities across IPO market-cap bands reflect uncertainty over timing and debut valuation amid rapid private-market growth. The company closed a $5 billion round at a $190 billion valuation in August 2026 after reaching a $7 billion annualized revenue run rate growing over 80% year-over-year, with positive free cash flow. CEO comments in June 2026 cited a crowded 2026 IPO calendar as a reason to defer listing, with no S-1 filing yet and expectations pointing to late 2026 or 2027. This dynamic, combined with private multiples near 27 times revenue and comparable AI infrastructure precedents, spreads trader consensus across ranges while assigning a 23% chance of no IPO by end-2027. Key catalysts include any confidential filing or 2027 market conditions.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
交易量
$416结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETDatabricks' closely matched probabilities across IPO market-cap bands reflect uncertainty over timing and debut valuation amid rapid private-market growth. The company closed a $5 billion round at a $190 billion valuation in August 2026 after reaching a $7 billion annualized revenue run rate growing over 80% year-over-year, with positive free cash flow. CEO comments in June 2026 cited a crowded 2026 IPO calendar as a reason to defer listing, with no S-1 filing yet and expectations pointing to late 2026 or 2027. This dynamic, combined with private multiples near 27 times revenue and comparable AI infrastructure precedents, spreads trader consensus across ranges while assigning a 23% chance of no IPO by end-2027. Key catalysts include any confidential filing or 2027 market conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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