SpaceX's June 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation, with shares priced at $135 and proceeds near $75 billion, anchors trader consensus for the largest 2026 debut by market cap, as the listing has already cleared historical benchmarks like Saudi Aramco and trades above $2 trillion post-IPO. Anthropic's May Series H round at $965 billion post-money, followed by its June confidential S-1 filing, sustains its 44.1% implied probability for a potential late-year listing near $1 trillion. xAI's February merger into SpaceX eliminates standalone prospects, concentrating AI exposure within the SpaceX entity. Other candidates remain sidelined by absent filings or lower private valuations amid elevated rate and liquidity conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于SpaceX 55%
Anthropic 44.1%
OpenAI <1%
Discord <1%
$5,444,856 交易量
$5,444,856 交易量

SpaceX
55%

Anthropic
44%

OpenAI
<1%

Discord
<1%

字节跳动
<1%

Stripe
<1%

Kraken
<1%

SHEIN
<1%

Waymo
<1%

Revolut
<1%

Perplexity AI
<1%

Databricks
<1%
SpaceX 55%
Anthropic 44.1%
OpenAI <1%
Discord <1%
$5,444,856 交易量
$5,444,856 交易量

SpaceX
55%

Anthropic
44%

OpenAI
<1%

Discord
<1%

字节跳动
<1%

Stripe
<1%

Kraken
<1%

SHEIN
<1%

Waymo
<1%

Revolut
<1%

Perplexity AI
<1%

Databricks
<1%
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's June 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation, with shares priced at $135 and proceeds near $75 billion, anchors trader consensus for the largest 2026 debut by market cap, as the listing has already cleared historical benchmarks like Saudi Aramco and trades above $2 trillion post-IPO. Anthropic's May Series H round at $965 billion post-money, followed by its June confidential S-1 filing, sustains its 44.1% implied probability for a potential late-year listing near $1 trillion. xAI's February merger into SpaceX eliminates standalone prospects, concentrating AI exposure within the SpaceX entity. Other candidates remain sidelined by absent filings or lower private valuations amid elevated rate and liquidity conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题