OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing and $852 billion post-money valuation from its record $122 billion March 2026 round anchor trader sentiment, with monthly revenue reaching $2 billion yet profitability still absent. The spread across $1.0T–$2.0T buckets reflects uncertainty over whether the company pursues a late-2026 debut or delays into 2027 amid volatile AI equity multiples and regulatory scrutiny. Key swing factors include enterprise revenue share growth, potential share sales, and broader market risk appetite, which could shift implied probabilities if macro conditions or comparable tech listings alter valuation benchmarks before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1.25T–$1.5T 22.7%
$1.0T–$1.25T 20%
$1.75T–$2.0T 18%
$1.5T–$1.75T 15.3%
$62,228 交易量
$62,228 交易量
<$1T
8%
$1.0T–$1.25T
20%
$1.25T–$1.5T
23%
$1.5T–$1.75T
15%
$1.75T–$2.0T
18%
$2.0T–$2.25T
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
8%
$2.5T+
5%
$1.25T–$1.5T 22.7%
$1.0T–$1.25T 20%
$1.75T–$2.0T 18%
$1.5T–$1.75T 15.3%
$62,228 交易量
$62,228 交易量
<$1T
8%
$1.0T–$1.25T
20%
$1.25T–$1.5T
23%
$1.5T–$1.75T
15%
$1.75T–$2.0T
18%
$2.0T–$2.25T
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
8%
$2.5T+
5%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing and $852 billion post-money valuation from its record $122 billion March 2026 round anchor trader sentiment, with monthly revenue reaching $2 billion yet profitability still absent. The spread across $1.0T–$2.0T buckets reflects uncertainty over whether the company pursues a late-2026 debut or delays into 2027 amid volatile AI equity multiples and regulatory scrutiny. Key swing factors include enterprise revenue share growth, potential share sales, and broader market risk appetite, which could shift implied probabilities if macro conditions or comparable tech listings alter valuation benchmarks before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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