Anthropic leads trader sentiment for the best AI model by end of October due to consistent top rankings on key benchmarks, including SWE-Bench and coding-focused evaluations where recent Claude Opus and Sonnet iterations outperform GPT-5.5 variants and Gemini 3 Pro in complex, multi-file reasoning and agentic workflows. This edge stems from Anthropic's emphasis on extended context windows and reliable performance in enterprise tasks, widening the gap over OpenAI and Google in independent leaderboards as of mid-2026. Competitors like DeepSeek and Alibaba trail on raw capability despite lower costs, while Meta and others lag further behind. Upcoming model refreshes or major benchmark updates through October could shift the tight race among frontier labs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic 69%
StepFun 22%
DeepSeek 21%
MiniMax 20%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
Anthropic
69%
StepFun
22%
DeepSeek
21%
MiniMax
20%
Baidu
19%
16%
Alibaba
15%
Amazon
15%
Mistral
15%
Nvidia
14%
Meituan
14%
OpenAI
13%
Microsoft
12%
Thinky
9%
Moonshot
9%
Z.ai
5%
Meta
13%
Xiaomi
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
ByteDance
1%
Tencent
1%
Anthropic 69%
StepFun 22%
DeepSeek 21%
MiniMax 20%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
Anthropic
$57 交易量
69%
StepFun
$87 交易量
22%
DeepSeek
$44 交易量
21%
MiniMax
$87 交易量
20%
Baidu
$107 交易量
19%
$44 交易量
16%
Alibaba
$44 交易量
15%
Amazon
$44 交易量
15%
Mistral
$44 交易量
15%
Nvidia
$44 交易量
14%
Meituan
$44 交易量
14%
OpenAI
$49 交易量
13%
Microsoft
$90 交易量
12%
Thinky
$44 交易量
9%
Moonshot
$107 交易量
9%
Z.ai
$87 交易量
5%
Meta
$87 交易量
13%
Xiaomi
$87 交易量
1%
SpaceXAI
$87 交易量
1%
ByteDance
$87 交易量
1%
Tencent
$87 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic leads trader sentiment for the best AI model by end of October due to consistent top rankings on key benchmarks, including SWE-Bench and coding-focused evaluations where recent Claude Opus and Sonnet iterations outperform GPT-5.5 variants and Gemini 3 Pro in complex, multi-file reasoning and agentic workflows. This edge stems from Anthropic's emphasis on extended context windows and reliable performance in enterprise tasks, widening the gap over OpenAI and Google in independent leaderboards as of mid-2026. Competitors like DeepSeek and Alibaba trail on raw capability despite lower costs, while Meta and others lag further behind. Upcoming model refreshes or major benchmark updates through October could shift the tight race among frontier labs.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
交易量
$1,461结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic leads trader sentiment for the best AI model by end of October due to consistent top rankings on key benchmarks, including SWE-Bench and coding-focused evaluations where recent Claude Opus and Sonnet iterations outperform GPT-5.5 variants and Gemini 3 Pro in complex, multi-file reasoning and agentic workflows. This edge stems from Anthropic's emphasis on extended context windows and reliable performance in enterprise tasks, widening the gap over OpenAI and Google in independent leaderboards as of mid-2026. Competitors like DeepSeek and Alibaba trail on raw capability despite lower costs, while Meta and others lag further behind. Upcoming model refreshes or major benchmark updates through October could shift the tight race among frontier labs.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$1,461结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic leads trader sentiment for the best AI model by end of October due to consistent top rankings on key benchmarks, including SWE-Bench and coding-focused evaluations where recent Claude Opus and Sonnet iterations outperform GPT-5.5 variants and Gemini 3 Pro in complex, multi-file reasoning and agentic workflows. This edge stems from Anthropic's emphasis on extended context windows and reliable performance in enterprise tasks, widening the gap over OpenAI and Google in independent leaderboards as of mid-2026. Competitors like DeepSeek and Alibaba trail on raw capability despite lower costs, while Meta and others lag further behind. Upcoming model refreshes or major benchmark updates through October could shift the tight race among frontier labs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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