Recent releases of advanced reasoning models from Anthropic, OpenAI, and Google have kept Text Arena Math rankings fluid, with crowdsourced Elo scores showing tight clusters among frontier labs on competition-level problems. Anthropic's Claude variants hold early leads in math subcategories through extended chain-of-thought capabilities, yet OpenAI's GPT-5 iterations and Google's Gemini updates deliver comparable results on benchmarks like AIME and MATH, while Chinese labs such as Moonshot and Z.ai post strong open-weight showings. This parity, combined with rapid iteration cycles and benchmark saturation, leaves third place highly contested through October, hinging on the next wave of model drops and user voting shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于百度 42%
谷歌 42%
Nvidia 37%
Meta 37%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
百度
42%
谷歌
42%
Nvidia
37%
Meta
37%
小米
35%
DeepSeek
30%
Anthropic
30%
阿里巴巴
19%
腾讯
28%
微软
28%
StepFun
26%
Moonshot
27%
Z.ai
18%
OpenAI
17%
SpaceXAI
15%
亚马逊
14%
MiniMax
8%
字节跳动
8%
美团
7%
Mistral
6%
百度 42%
谷歌 42%
Nvidia 37%
Meta 37%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
百度
$29 交易量
42%
谷歌
$0 交易量
42%
Nvidia
$0 交易量
37%
Meta
$29 交易量
37%
小米
$29 交易量
35%
DeepSeek
$29 交易量
30%
Anthropic
$29 交易量
30%
阿里巴巴
$29 交易量
19%
腾讯
$29 交易量
28%
微软
$0 交易量
28%
StepFun
$0 交易量
26%
Moonshot
$30 交易量
27%
Z.ai
$29 交易量
18%
OpenAI
$29 交易量
17%
SpaceXAI
$29 交易量
15%
亚马逊
$29 交易量
14%
MiniMax
$68 交易量
8%
字节跳动
$69 交易量
8%
美团
$68 交易量
7%
Mistral
$71 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent releases of advanced reasoning models from Anthropic, OpenAI, and Google have kept Text Arena Math rankings fluid, with crowdsourced Elo scores showing tight clusters among frontier labs on competition-level problems. Anthropic's Claude variants hold early leads in math subcategories through extended chain-of-thought capabilities, yet OpenAI's GPT-5 iterations and Google's Gemini updates deliver comparable results on benchmarks like AIME and MATH, while Chinese labs such as Moonshot and Z.ai post strong open-weight showings. This parity, combined with rapid iteration cycles and benchmark saturation, leaves third place highly contested through October, hinging on the next wave of model drops and user voting shifts.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ET
交易量
$626结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent releases of advanced reasoning models from Anthropic, OpenAI, and Google have kept Text Arena Math rankings fluid, with crowdsourced Elo scores showing tight clusters among frontier labs on competition-level problems. Anthropic's Claude variants hold early leads in math subcategories through extended chain-of-thought capabilities, yet OpenAI's GPT-5 iterations and Google's Gemini updates deliver comparable results on benchmarks like AIME and MATH, while Chinese labs such as Moonshot and Z.ai post strong open-weight showings. This parity, combined with rapid iteration cycles and benchmark saturation, leaves third place highly contested through October, hinging on the next wave of model drops and user voting shifts.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$626结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent releases of advanced reasoning models from Anthropic, OpenAI, and Google have kept Text Arena Math rankings fluid, with crowdsourced Elo scores showing tight clusters among frontier labs on competition-level problems. Anthropic's Claude variants hold early leads in math subcategories through extended chain-of-thought capabilities, yet OpenAI's GPT-5 iterations and Google's Gemini updates deliver comparable results on benchmarks like AIME and MATH, while Chinese labs such as Moonshot and Z.ai post strong open-weight showings. This parity, combined with rapid iteration cycles and benchmark saturation, leaves third place highly contested through October, hinging on the next wave of model drops and user voting shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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