Multiple frontier labs maintain closely matched math capabilities on LiveBench, leaving traders with no dominant favorite for the end-of-October snapshot. Strong reasoning performance from Anthropic’s Claude 5 series, OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants, Google’s Gemini 3 models, and several Chinese systems (Z.ai GLM-5, Moonshot Kimi, MiniMax) reflects rapid gains from test-time compute, synthetic math data, and iterative post-training. LiveBench’s frequent refresh of contamination-free problems keeps scores volatile, while upcoming releases or fine-tunes before October could shift relative standings. The even odds capture this fluid competitive landscape and the absence of decisive recent benchmarks favoring any single provider.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic 37%
MiniMax 36%
OpenAI 32%
Moonshot 31%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
Anthropic
37%
MiniMax
36%
OpenAI
32%
Moonshot
31%
腾讯
31%
Z.ai
30%
ByteDance
30%
Alibaba
29%
SpaceXAI
27%
Amazon
26%
Baidu
21%
StepFun
20%
微软
19%
Mistral
19%
Meta
18%
DeepSeek
18%
Thinky
17%
Nvidia
15%
Xiaomi
18%
美团
2%
15%
Anthropic 37%
MiniMax 36%
OpenAI 32%
Moonshot 31%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
Anthropic
$62 交易量
37%
MiniMax
$62 交易量
36%
OpenAI
$67 交易量
32%
Moonshot
$62 交易量
31%
腾讯
$62 交易量
31%
Z.ai
$62 交易量
30%
ByteDance
$62 交易量
30%
Alibaba
$62 交易量
29%
SpaceXAI
$62 交易量
27%
Amazon
$62 交易量
26%
Baidu
$62 交易量
21%
StepFun
$67 交易量
20%
微软
$62 交易量
19%
Mistral
$62 交易量
19%
Meta
$67 交易量
18%
DeepSeek
$67 交易量
18%
Thinky
$62 交易量
17%
Nvidia
$62 交易量
15%
Xiaomi
$62 交易量
18%
美团
$62 交易量
2%
$101 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Multiple frontier labs maintain closely matched math capabilities on LiveBench, leaving traders with no dominant favorite for the end-of-October snapshot. Strong reasoning performance from Anthropic’s Claude 5 series, OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants, Google’s Gemini 3 models, and several Chinese systems (Z.ai GLM-5, Moonshot Kimi, MiniMax) reflects rapid gains from test-time compute, synthetic math data, and iterative post-training. LiveBench’s frequent refresh of contamination-free problems keeps scores volatile, while upcoming releases or fine-tunes before October could shift relative standings. The even odds capture this fluid competitive landscape and the absence of decisive recent benchmarks favoring any single provider.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
交易量
$1,361结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Multiple frontier labs maintain closely matched math capabilities on LiveBench, leaving traders with no dominant favorite for the end-of-October snapshot. Strong reasoning performance from Anthropic’s Claude 5 series, OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants, Google’s Gemini 3 models, and several Chinese systems (Z.ai GLM-5, Moonshot Kimi, MiniMax) reflects rapid gains from test-time compute, synthetic math data, and iterative post-training. LiveBench’s frequent refresh of contamination-free problems keeps scores volatile, while upcoming releases or fine-tunes before October could shift relative standings. The even odds capture this fluid competitive landscape and the absence of decisive recent benchmarks favoring any single provider.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
交易量
$1,361结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple frontier labs maintain closely matched math capabilities on LiveBench, leaving traders with no dominant favorite for the end-of-October snapshot. Strong reasoning performance from Anthropic’s Claude 5 series, OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants, Google’s Gemini 3 models, and several Chinese systems (Z.ai GLM-5, Moonshot Kimi, MiniMax) reflects rapid gains from test-time compute, synthetic math data, and iterative post-training. LiveBench’s frequent refresh of contamination-free problems keeps scores volatile, while upcoming releases or fine-tunes before October could shift relative standings. The even odds capture this fluid competitive landscape and the absence of decisive recent benchmarks favoring any single provider.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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