Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro release, originally slated for June after May's Google I/O preview and later shifted to July, now drives trader focus toward an August rollout amid persistent internal performance shortfalls. July 21 updates introduced 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash variants without the flagship Pro model, while pre-training for Gemini 4 began the same day, highlighting Google's need to close capability gaps with competitors. The tightly clustered mid-August probabilities reflect uncertainty over final testing timelines, with traders weighing potential surprise announcements against historical slippage in frontier large language model deployments. Upcoming earnings calls or developer updates could shift odds by clarifying resolution criteria around demonstrated benchmarks or API availability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于August 10 32.2%
August 27 32%
August 25 29%
August 23 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
On or prior to August 1
1%
August 2
1%
August 3
-
August 4
28%
August 5
30%
August 6
6%
August 7
28%
August 8
5%
August 9
6%
August 10
32%
August 11
32%
August 12
-
August 13
24%
August 14
22%
August 15
1%
August 16
10%
August 17
27%
August 18
29%
August 19
28%
August 20
28%
August 21
-
August 22
-
August 23
28%
August 24
-
August 25
29%
August 26
-
August 27
32%
August 28
30%
August 29
18%
August 30
22%
August 31
-
No release by August 31
12%
August 10 32.2%
August 27 32%
August 25 29%
August 23 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
On or prior to August 1
$44 交易量
1%
August 2
$274 交易量
1%
August 3
$141 交易量
-
August 4
$177 交易量
28%
August 5
$382 交易量
30%
August 6
$217 交易量
6%
August 7
$377 交易量
28%
August 8
$177 交易量
5%
August 9
$196 交易量
6%
August 10
$246 交易量
32%
August 11
$177 交易量
32%
August 12
$176 交易量
-
August 13
$177 交易量
24%
August 14
$177 交易量
22%
August 15
$177 交易量
1%
August 16
$177 交易量
10%
August 17
$177 交易量
27%
August 18
$177 交易量
29%
August 19
$177 交易量
28%
August 20
$177 交易量
28%
August 21
$172 交易量
-
August 22
$172 交易量
-
August 23
$177 交易量
28%
August 24
$177 交易量
-
August 25
$177 交易量
29%
August 26
$145 交易量
-
August 27
$211 交易量
32%
August 28
$177 交易量
30%
August 29
$177 交易量
18%
August 30
$177 交易量
22%
August 31
$177 交易量
-
No release by August 31
$794 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro release, originally slated for June after May's Google I/O preview and later shifted to July, now drives trader focus toward an August rollout amid persistent internal performance shortfalls. July 21 updates introduced 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash variants without the flagship Pro model, while pre-training for Gemini 4 began the same day, highlighting Google's need to close capability gaps with competitors. The tightly clustered mid-August probabilities reflect uncertainty over final testing timelines, with traders weighing potential surprise announcements against historical slippage in frontier large language model deployments. Upcoming earnings calls or developer updates could shift odds by clarifying resolution criteria around demonstrated benchmarks or API availability.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
交易量
$6,731结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro release, originally slated for June after May's Google I/O preview and later shifted to July, now drives trader focus toward an August rollout amid persistent internal performance shortfalls. July 21 updates introduced 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash variants without the flagship Pro model, while pre-training for Gemini 4 began the same day, highlighting Google's need to close capability gaps with competitors. The tightly clustered mid-August probabilities reflect uncertainty over final testing timelines, with traders weighing potential surprise announcements against historical slippage in frontier large language model deployments. Upcoming earnings calls or developer updates could shift odds by clarifying resolution criteria around demonstrated benchmarks or API availability.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$6,731结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro release, originally slated for June after May's Google I/O preview and later shifted to July, now drives trader focus toward an August rollout amid persistent internal performance shortfalls. July 21 updates introduced 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash variants without the flagship Pro model, while pre-training for Gemini 4 began the same day, highlighting Google's need to close capability gaps with competitors. The tightly clustered mid-August probabilities reflect uncertainty over final testing timelines, with traders weighing potential surprise announcements against historical slippage in frontier large language model deployments. Upcoming earnings calls or developer updates could shift odds by clarifying resolution criteria around demonstrated benchmarks or API availability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题