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icon for 情境意识在8月31日之前筹集新资金?

情境意识在8月31日之前筹集新资金?

icon for 情境意识在8月31日之前筹集新资金?

情境意识在8月31日之前筹集新资金?

39% 概率
Polymarket
最新

$13,396 交易量

39% 概率
Polymarket
最新

$13,396 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify. Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent heavy losses on AI infrastructure holdings triggered margin calls at Leopold Aschenbrenner’s Situational Awareness hedge fund, prompting it to sell most of its leveraged public equities portfolio to Citadel rather than secure fresh investor commitments. This fire sale, which shrank assets from roughly $45 billion to around $10 billion, followed failed or stalled outreach to existing backers and prime brokers amid the broader AI stock rout. With the August 31 deadline approaching and no confirmed new capital raised, traders see limited near-term prospects for a successful raise, though private stakes and rapid market rebounds remain potential swing factors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify.

Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$13,396
结束日期
2026-08-31
市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 3:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify. Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify. Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent heavy losses on AI infrastructure holdings triggered margin calls at Leopold Aschenbrenner’s Situational Awareness hedge fund, prompting it to sell most of its leveraged public equities portfolio to Citadel rather than secure fresh investor commitments. This fire sale, which shrank assets from roughly $45 billion to around $10 billion, followed failed or stalled outreach to existing backers and prime brokers amid the broader AI stock rout. With the August 31 deadline approaching and no confirmed new capital raised, traders see limited near-term prospects for a successful raise, though private stakes and rapid market rebounds remain potential swing factors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify.

Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$13,396
结束日期
2026-08-31
市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 3:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify. Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"情境意识在8月31日之前筹集新资金?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Situational Awareness 能在8月31日前筹集到新资金吗?",概率为 39%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 39¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 39%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"情境意识在8月31日之前筹集新资金?"已产生 $13.4K 的总交易量(自Jul 30, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"情境意识在8月31日之前筹集新资金?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"情境意识在8月31日之前筹集新资金?"的当前领先者是"Situational Awareness 能在8月31日前筹集到新资金吗?",概率为 39%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 39%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"情境意识在8月31日之前筹集新资金?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。