The closely matched implied probabilities across numerous AI labs reflect intense competition in math-focused large language model evaluations on Text Arena, where small benchmark edges can shift quickly. Anthropic's recent Claude variants lead current math category scores around 1520+, driven by strong performance on reasoning tasks, while OpenAI's GPT-5 series, Google's Gemini models, and Chinese labs including Z.ai (GLM), Alibaba (Qwen), Moonshot (Kimi), and DeepSeek deliver comparable results on benchmarks like AIME and MATH-500. Key differentiators include specialized reasoning capabilities, training scale, and cost efficiency, with open-weight options gaining traction. Upcoming model updates or new capability demonstrations before November's end remain the main swing factors in this uncertain environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于微软 44%
Z.ai 43%
SpaceXAI 38%
OpenAI 24%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
微软
44%
Z.ai
43%
SpaceXAI
38%
OpenAI
24%
Meta
24%
DeepSeek
23%
腾讯
21%
小米
20%
Thinky
19%
美团
16%
谷歌
14%
百度
14%
Moonshot
14%
英伟达
13%
阿里巴巴
12%
StepFun
12%
MiniMax
9%
Mistral
6%
Anthropic
3%
亚马逊
3%
字节跳动
38%
微软 44%
Z.ai 43%
SpaceXAI 38%
OpenAI 24%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
微软
$34 交易量
44%
Z.ai
$34 交易量
43%
SpaceXAI
$34 交易量
38%
OpenAI
$34 交易量
24%
Meta
$34 交易量
24%
DeepSeek
$34 交易量
23%
腾讯
$21 交易量
21%
小米
$34 交易量
20%
Thinky
$34 交易量
19%
美团
$34 交易量
16%
谷歌
$34 交易量
14%
百度
$34 交易量
14%
Moonshot
$34 交易量
14%
英伟达
$47 交易量
13%
阿里巴巴
$34 交易量
12%
StepFun
$34 交易量
12%
MiniMax
$34 交易量
9%
Mistral
$66 交易量
6%
Anthropic
$21 交易量
3%
亚马逊
$50 交易量
3%
字节跳动
$35 交易量
38%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched implied probabilities across numerous AI labs reflect intense competition in math-focused large language model evaluations on Text Arena, where small benchmark edges can shift quickly. Anthropic's recent Claude variants lead current math category scores around 1520+, driven by strong performance on reasoning tasks, while OpenAI's GPT-5 series, Google's Gemini models, and Chinese labs including Z.ai (GLM), Alibaba (Qwen), Moonshot (Kimi), and DeepSeek deliver comparable results on benchmarks like AIME and MATH-500. Key differentiators include specialized reasoning capabilities, training scale, and cost efficiency, with open-weight options gaining traction. Upcoming model updates or new capability demonstrations before November's end remain the main swing factors in this uncertain environment.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
交易量
$743结束日期
2026-12-01市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched implied probabilities across numerous AI labs reflect intense competition in math-focused large language model evaluations on Text Arena, where small benchmark edges can shift quickly. Anthropic's recent Claude variants lead current math category scores around 1520+, driven by strong performance on reasoning tasks, while OpenAI's GPT-5 series, Google's Gemini models, and Chinese labs including Z.ai (GLM), Alibaba (Qwen), Moonshot (Kimi), and DeepSeek deliver comparable results on benchmarks like AIME and MATH-500. Key differentiators include specialized reasoning capabilities, training scale, and cost efficiency, with open-weight options gaining traction. Upcoming model updates or new capability demonstrations before November's end remain the main swing factors in this uncertain environment.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$743结束日期
2026-12-01市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETThe closely matched implied probabilities across numerous AI labs reflect intense competition in math-focused large language model evaluations on Text Arena, where small benchmark edges can shift quickly. Anthropic's recent Claude variants lead current math category scores around 1520+, driven by strong performance on reasoning tasks, while OpenAI's GPT-5 series, Google's Gemini models, and Chinese labs including Z.ai (GLM), Alibaba (Qwen), Moonshot (Kimi), and DeepSeek deliver comparable results on benchmarks like AIME and MATH-500. Key differentiators include specialized reasoning capabilities, training scale, and cost efficiency, with open-weight options gaining traction. Upcoming model updates or new capability demonstrations before November's end remain the main swing factors in this uncertain environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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