The closely matched 50% odds across multiple AI labs for achieving the #3 ranking with style control enabled by end of November highlight intense uncertainty in the large language model space. Competitive dynamics hinge on recent demonstrated capabilities in controllable output styles, where labs like Tencent, Microsoft, Meta, and Chinese players such as DeepSeek or Moonshot vie through rapid iterations, benchmark results, and feature rollouts that differentiate user-facing customization. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessments of development velocity amid platform dynamics and regulatory factors, though timelines frequently shift and new announcements could quickly alter positioning ahead of key release windows or evaluations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于英伟达 22%
Thinky 19%
微软 17%
DeepSeek 15%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
英伟达
22%
Thinky
19%
微软
17%
DeepSeek
15%
阿里巴巴
15%
Meta
14%
美团
14%
Mistral
14%
腾讯
14%
字节跳动
13%
MiniMax
13%
StepFun
13%
亚马逊
13%
Z.ai
10%
Anthropic
7%
百度
7%
OpenAI
7%
小米
12%
谷歌
5%
Moonshot
5%
SpaceXAI
14%
英伟达 22%
Thinky 19%
微软 17%
DeepSeek 15%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
英伟达
$53 交易量
22%
Thinky
$53 交易量
19%
微软
$53 交易量
17%
DeepSeek
$53 交易量
15%
阿里巴巴
$69 交易量
15%
Meta
$53 交易量
14%
美团
$53 交易量
14%
Mistral
$53 交易量
14%
腾讯
$53 交易量
14%
字节跳动
$53 交易量
13%
MiniMax
$53 交易量
13%
StepFun
$53 交易量
13%
亚马逊
$53 交易量
13%
Z.ai
$53 交易量
10%
Anthropic
$53 交易量
7%
百度
$53 交易量
7%
OpenAI
$53 交易量
7%
小米
$66 交易量
12%
谷歌
$59 交易量
5%
Moonshot
$53 交易量
5%
SpaceXAI
$56 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched 50% odds across multiple AI labs for achieving the #3 ranking with style control enabled by end of November highlight intense uncertainty in the large language model space. Competitive dynamics hinge on recent demonstrated capabilities in controllable output styles, where labs like Tencent, Microsoft, Meta, and Chinese players such as DeepSeek or Moonshot vie through rapid iterations, benchmark results, and feature rollouts that differentiate user-facing customization. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessments of development velocity amid platform dynamics and regulatory factors, though timelines frequently shift and new announcements could quickly alter positioning ahead of key release windows or evaluations.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
交易量
$1,152结束日期
2026-12-01市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched 50% odds across multiple AI labs for achieving the #3 ranking with style control enabled by end of November highlight intense uncertainty in the large language model space. Competitive dynamics hinge on recent demonstrated capabilities in controllable output styles, where labs like Tencent, Microsoft, Meta, and Chinese players such as DeepSeek or Moonshot vie through rapid iterations, benchmark results, and feature rollouts that differentiate user-facing customization. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessments of development velocity amid platform dynamics and regulatory factors, though timelines frequently shift and new announcements could quickly alter positioning ahead of key release windows or evaluations.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$1,152结束日期
2026-12-01市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ETThe closely matched 50% odds across multiple AI labs for achieving the #3 ranking with style control enabled by end of November highlight intense uncertainty in the large language model space. Competitive dynamics hinge on recent demonstrated capabilities in controllable output styles, where labs like Tencent, Microsoft, Meta, and Chinese players such as DeepSeek or Moonshot vie through rapid iterations, benchmark results, and feature rollouts that differentiate user-facing customization. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessments of development velocity amid platform dynamics and regulatory factors, though timelines frequently shift and new announcements could quickly alter positioning ahead of key release windows or evaluations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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