Persistent rain and northerly winds associated with a frontal system are keeping overnight temperatures in Tokyo stable near 20–22°C for September 6, according to consensus from Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple numerical models. High humidity, full cloud cover, and steady precipitation suppress radiative cooling, while the lack of clear skies or strong southerly flow prevents warmer air advection that could push minima above 23°C. Recent model runs show little spread in the 20–22°C range, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C and 22°C outcomes, though minor shifts in wind direction or rainfall timing could still nudge the final recorded low by 1°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日东京最低气温？
9月6日东京最低气温？
21°C 49%
22°C 29%
20°C 20%
23°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
20%
21°C
49%
22°C
29%
23°C
6%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
21°C 49%
22°C 29%
20°C 20%
23°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
17°C或以下
$105 交易量
<1%
18°C
$105 交易量
<1%
19°C
$90 交易量
1%
20°C
$786 交易量
20%
21°C
$305 交易量
49%
22°C
$755 交易量
29%
23°C
$135 交易量
6%
24°C
$80 交易量
1%
25°C
$85 交易量
<1%
26°C
$75 交易量
<1%
27°C或更高
$75 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and northerly winds associated with a frontal system are keeping overnight temperatures in Tokyo stable near 20–22°C for September 6, according to consensus from Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple numerical models. High humidity, full cloud cover, and steady precipitation suppress radiative cooling, while the lack of clear skies or strong southerly flow prevents warmer air advection that could push minima above 23°C. Recent model runs show little spread in the 20–22°C range, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C and 22°C outcomes, though minor shifts in wind direction or rainfall timing could still nudge the final recorded low by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,597结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and northerly winds associated with a frontal system are keeping overnight temperatures in Tokyo stable near 20–22°C for September 6, according to consensus from Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple numerical models. High humidity, full cloud cover, and steady precipitation suppress radiative cooling, while the lack of clear skies or strong southerly flow prevents warmer air advection that could push minima above 23°C. Recent model runs show little spread in the 20–22°C range, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C and 22°C outcomes, though minor shifts in wind direction or rainfall timing could still nudge the final recorded low by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,597结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETPersistent rain and northerly winds associated with a frontal system are keeping overnight temperatures in Tokyo stable near 20–22°C for September 6, according to consensus from Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple numerical models. High humidity, full cloud cover, and steady precipitation suppress radiative cooling, while the lack of clear skies or strong southerly flow prevents warmer air advection that could push minima above 23°C. Recent model runs show little spread in the 20–22°C range, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C and 22°C outcomes, though minor shifts in wind direction or rainfall timing could still nudge the final recorded low by 1°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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