Recent forecasts from meteorological models align with Shanghai's subtropical August climatology, where overnight lows typically stabilize near 25–26°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Persistent light rain and easterly flow over the past week have maintained elevated minimum temperatures, with current guidance for August 15 showing 25–27°C ranges and limited potential for further drops absent a stronger frontal passage. Trader consensus around 26°C reflects this stability, tempered by minor model spread on precipitation timing that could nudge values slightly higher or lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日上海最低气温?
26°C 50%
27°C 32%
25°C 10%
28°C 6%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
10%
26°C
50%
27°C
32%
28°C
6%
29°C
5%
30°C或以上
1%
26°C 50%
27°C 32%
25°C 10%
28°C 6%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
10%
26°C
50%
27°C
32%
28°C
6%
29°C
5%
30°C或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological models align with Shanghai's subtropical August climatology, where overnight lows typically stabilize near 25–26°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Persistent light rain and easterly flow over the past week have maintained elevated minimum temperatures, with current guidance for August 15 showing 25–27°C ranges and limited potential for further drops absent a stronger frontal passage. Trader consensus around 26°C reflects this stability, tempered by minor model spread on precipitation timing that could nudge values slightly higher or lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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