Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum temperature of 61°F in Denver on September 4, 2026, aligning precisely with the 60-61°F bin that commands 95.5% market-implied odds. This value exceeded the 1991–2020 climatological normal low of 54°F amid clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions that limited nocturnal cooling. Model guidance and real-time station data converged on this outcome well before resolution, reflecting stable high-pressure dominance and seasonal late-summer warmth. Outliers such as 55°F or below or 62°F+ carry negligible probabilities because they would require either unverified station discrepancies or rapid unforecasted changes inconsistent with NOAA verification protocols.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日丹佛最低温度？
9月4日丹佛最低温度？
60-61°F 99.5%
56-57°F 1.0%
55°F或更低 <1%
58-59°F <1%
$3,234 交易量
$3,234 交易量
2026-09-04
55°F或更低
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
是
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74°F或更高
否
60-61°F 99.5%
56-57°F 1.0%
55°F或更低 <1%
58-59°F <1%
$3,234 交易量
$3,234 交易量
2026-09-04
55°F或更低
$1,648 交易量
否
56-57°F
$22 交易量
否
58-59°F
$60 交易量
否
60-61°F
$416 交易量
是
62-63°F
$183 交易量
否
64-65°F
$189 交易量
否
66-67°F
$247 交易量
否
68-69°F
$145 交易量
否
70-71°F
$130 交易量
否
72-73°F
$147 交易量
否
74°F或更高
$47 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum temperature of 61°F in Denver on September 4, 2026, aligning precisely with the 60-61°F bin that commands 95.5% market-implied odds. This value exceeded the 1991–2020 climatological normal low of 54°F amid clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions that limited nocturnal cooling. Model guidance and real-time station data converged on this outcome well before resolution, reflecting stable high-pressure dominance and seasonal late-summer warmth. Outliers such as 55°F or below or 62°F+ carry negligible probabilities because they would require either unverified station discrepancies or rapid unforecasted changes inconsistent with NOAA verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$3,234结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum temperature of 61°F in Denver on September 4, 2026, aligning precisely with the 60-61°F bin that commands 95.5% market-implied odds. This value exceeded the 1991–2020 climatological normal low of 54°F amid clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions that limited nocturnal cooling. Model guidance and real-time station data converged on this outcome well before resolution, reflecting stable high-pressure dominance and seasonal late-summer warmth. Outliers such as 55°F or below or 62°F+ carry negligible probabilities because they would require either unverified station discrepancies or rapid unforecasted changes inconsistent with NOAA verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,234结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum temperature of 61°F in Denver on September 4, 2026, aligning precisely with the 60-61°F bin that commands 95.5% market-implied odds. This value exceeded the 1991–2020 climatological normal low of 54°F amid clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions that limited nocturnal cooling. Model guidance and real-time station data converged on this outcome well before resolution, reflecting stable high-pressure dominance and seasonal late-summer warmth. Outliers such as 55°F or below or 62°F+ carry negligible probabilities because they would require either unverified station discrepancies or rapid unforecasted changes inconsistent with NOAA verification protocols.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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