**Trader sentiment for Chongqing's September 5 minimum temperature centers on 26°C as the most probable outcome (66.5% implied probability), followed by nearby values around 24–25°C.** Official forecasts and real-time observations from sources such as WeatherBug, LUFT TIME, and Yr.no indicate daytime highs near 35–36°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and moderate humidity (around 40–50%), allowing overnight radiative cooling to a low of approximately 25–26°C. This aligns with typical early-September subtropical monsoon conditions in the region, where seasonal warmth persists absent strong cold-air intrusions or heavy precipitation. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no major updates in the past 24 hours shifting expectations toward cooler thresholds; probabilities for 20°C or below remain secondary at 35.5% due to the absence of supporting synoptic patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日重庆最低气温？
9月5日重庆最低气温？
20°C或以下 71%
22°C 10%
23°C 10%
27°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
20°C或以下
71%
21°C
-
22°C
10%
23°C
10%
24°C
-
25°C
35%
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
20°C或以下 71%
22°C 10%
23°C 10%
27°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
20°C或以下
$75 交易量
71%
21°C
$21 交易量
-
22°C
$22 交易量
10%
23°C
$22 交易量
10%
24°C
$116 交易量
-
25°C
$116 交易量
35%
26°C
$637 交易量
-
27°C
$35 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,035 交易量
<1%
29°C
$35 交易量
<1%
30°C或更高
$81 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Chongqing's September 5 minimum temperature centers on 26°C as the most probable outcome (66.5% implied probability), followed by nearby values around 24–25°C.** Official forecasts and real-time observations from sources such as WeatherBug, LUFT TIME, and Yr.no indicate daytime highs near 35–36°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and moderate humidity (around 40–50%), allowing overnight radiative cooling to a low of approximately 25–26°C. This aligns with typical early-September subtropical monsoon conditions in the region, where seasonal warmth persists absent strong cold-air intrusions or heavy precipitation. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no major updates in the past 24 hours shifting expectations toward cooler thresholds; probabilities for 20°C or below remain secondary at 35.5% due to the absence of supporting synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,195结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Chongqing's September 5 minimum temperature centers on 26°C as the most probable outcome (66.5% implied probability), followed by nearby values around 24–25°C.** Official forecasts and real-time observations from sources such as WeatherBug, LUFT TIME, and Yr.no indicate daytime highs near 35–36°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and moderate humidity (around 40–50%), allowing overnight radiative cooling to a low of approximately 25–26°C. This aligns with typical early-September subtropical monsoon conditions in the region, where seasonal warmth persists absent strong cold-air intrusions or heavy precipitation. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no major updates in the past 24 hours shifting expectations toward cooler thresholds; probabilities for 20°C or below remain secondary at 35.5% due to the absence of supporting synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,195结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Chongqing's September 5 minimum temperature centers on 26°C as the most probable outcome (66.5% implied probability), followed by nearby values around 24–25°C.** Official forecasts and real-time observations from sources such as WeatherBug, LUFT TIME, and Yr.no indicate daytime highs near 35–36°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and moderate humidity (around 40–50%), allowing overnight radiative cooling to a low of approximately 25–26°C. This aligns with typical early-September subtropical monsoon conditions in the region, where seasonal warmth persists absent strong cold-air intrusions or heavy precipitation. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no major updates in the past 24 hours shifting expectations toward cooler thresholds; probabilities for 20°C or below remain secondary at 35.5% due to the absence of supporting synoptic patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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