Official observations from Chicago O'Hare International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 76°F on September 4, 2026, at 5:52 a.m. CDT, aligning with the market's dominant 76-77°F outcome. Persistent above-normal warmth from prior days, including minimums of 77-78°F, reflected strong warm-air advection and high dew points that limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. National Weather Service data showed a 14°F departure above the 1991-2020 normal low of 62°F, consistent with the broader late-summer heat pattern across the Midwest. With the event concluded, trader consensus at 90% for 76-77°F and 10% for 74-75°F directly tracks the verified station reading, underscoring how surface observations and model consensus on limited radiative cooling shaped the final positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日芝加哥最低气温？
9月4日芝加哥最低气温？
76-77°F 99%
67°F或以下 20%
74-75华氏度 20%
68-69°F 9%
$2,056 交易量
$2,056 交易量
2026-09-04
67°F或以下
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75华氏度
否
76-77°F
是
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86华氏度或更高
否
76-77°F 99%
67°F或以下 20%
74-75华氏度 20%
68-69°F 9%
$2,056 交易量
$2,056 交易量
2026-09-04
67°F或以下
$75 交易量
否
68-69°F
$27 交易量
否
70-71°F
$27 交易量
否
72-73°F
$27 交易量
否
74-75华氏度
$48 交易量
否
76-77°F
$51 交易量
是
78-79°F
$1,174 交易量
否
80-81°F
$162 交易量
否
82-83°F
$107 交易量
否
84-85°F
$97 交易量
否
86华氏度或更高
$262 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Chicago O'Hare International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 76°F on September 4, 2026, at 5:52 a.m. CDT, aligning with the market's dominant 76-77°F outcome. Persistent above-normal warmth from prior days, including minimums of 77-78°F, reflected strong warm-air advection and high dew points that limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. National Weather Service data showed a 14°F departure above the 1991-2020 normal low of 62°F, consistent with the broader late-summer heat pattern across the Midwest. With the event concluded, trader consensus at 90% for 76-77°F and 10% for 74-75°F directly tracks the verified station reading, underscoring how surface observations and model consensus on limited radiative cooling shaped the final positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,056结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Chicago O'Hare International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 76°F on September 4, 2026, at 5:52 a.m. CDT, aligning with the market's dominant 76-77°F outcome. Persistent above-normal warmth from prior days, including minimums of 77-78°F, reflected strong warm-air advection and high dew points that limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. National Weather Service data showed a 14°F departure above the 1991-2020 normal low of 62°F, consistent with the broader late-summer heat pattern across the Midwest. With the event concluded, trader consensus at 90% for 76-77°F and 10% for 74-75°F directly tracks the verified station reading, underscoring how surface observations and model consensus on limited radiative cooling shaped the final positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,056结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from Chicago O'Hare International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 76°F on September 4, 2026, at 5:52 a.m. CDT, aligning with the market's dominant 76-77°F outcome. Persistent above-normal warmth from prior days, including minimums of 77-78°F, reflected strong warm-air advection and high dew points that limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. National Weather Service data showed a 14°F departure above the 1991-2020 normal low of 62°F, consistent with the broader late-summer heat pattern across the Midwest. With the event concluded, trader consensus at 90% for 76-77°F and 10% for 74-75°F directly tracks the verified station reading, underscoring how surface observations and model consensus on limited radiative cooling shaped the final positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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