**Current forecast models point to a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on September 6 around 3–6°C, driven by a strengthening southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and clear overnight skies promoting radiative cooling.** High pressure building behind a recent cold front supports light winds and low dew points, enhancing surface heat loss, while model spreads in timing and intensity of the coldest air create the tight clustering of trader probabilities across 1°C (30%), –1°C (28.5%), and nearby bins. Historical early-September minima average near 9°C, so this setup represents a notable but not extreme departure. Updated runs from agencies such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine the exact low before resolution, with any shift in cloud cover or wind speed capable of altering the outcome by 2–3°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度?
8°C或更高 59%
1°C 30%
-1°C 29%
0°C 28%
-2°C或更低
12%
-1°C
29%
0°C
28%
1°C
30%
2°C
24%
3°C
24%
4°C
25%
5°C
7%
6°C
16%
7°C
3%
8°C或更高
59%
8°C或更高 59%
1°C 30%
-1°C 29%
0°C 28%
-2°C或更低
12%
-1°C
29%
0°C
28%
1°C
30%
2°C
24%
3°C
24%
4°C
25%
5°C
7%
6°C
16%
7°C
3%
8°C或更高
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecast models point to a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on September 6 around 3–6°C, driven by a strengthening southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and clear overnight skies promoting radiative cooling.** High pressure building behind a recent cold front supports light winds and low dew points, enhancing surface heat loss, while model spreads in timing and intensity of the coldest air create the tight clustering of trader probabilities across 1°C (30%), –1°C (28.5%), and nearby bins. Historical early-September minima average near 9°C, so this setup represents a notable but not extreme departure. Updated runs from agencies such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine the exact low before resolution, with any shift in cloud cover or wind speed capable of altering the outcome by 2–3°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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