NOAA and Colorado State University forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season project below-normal activity, with 3-6 hurricanes expected amid a strengthening El Niño that increases wind shear and suppresses tropical cyclogenesis. As of early August, only two named storms—Arthur and Bertha—have formed, with zero hurricanes recorded so far against an average of seven. This early inactivity and model consensus favoring reduced formation through November support trader emphasis on the 1-3 or 4-6 ranges, though peak-season conditions and potential forecast revisions from the National Hurricane Center could still shift outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年大西洋飓风季节将形成多少次飓风？
2026年大西洋飓风季节将形成多少次飓风？
1-3 50%
4-6 37%
7+ 32%
0 8%
最新
最新
2026-12-31
0
8%
1-3
50%
4-6
37%
7+
32%
1-3 50%
4-6 37%
7+ 32%
0 8%
最新
最新
2026-12-31
0
$58 交易量
8%
1-3
$0 交易量
50%
4-6
$0 交易量
37%
7+
$0 交易量
32%
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.NOAA and Colorado State University forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season project below-normal activity, with 3-6 hurricanes expected amid a strengthening El Niño that increases wind shear and suppresses tropical cyclogenesis. As of early August, only two named storms—Arthur and Bertha—have formed, with zero hurricanes recorded so far against an average of seven. This early inactivity and model consensus favoring reduced formation through November support trader emphasis on the 1-3 or 4-6 ranges, though peak-season conditions and potential forecast revisions from the National Hurricane Center could still shift outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
市场开放时间： Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
交易量
$58结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.NOAA and Colorado State University forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season project below-normal activity, with 3-6 hurricanes expected amid a strengthening El Niño that increases wind shear and suppresses tropical cyclogenesis. As of early August, only two named storms—Arthur and Bertha—have formed, with zero hurricanes recorded so far against an average of seven. This early inactivity and model consensus favoring reduced formation through November support trader emphasis on the 1-3 or 4-6 ranges, though peak-season conditions and potential forecast revisions from the National Hurricane Center could still shift outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
交易量
$58结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...NOAA and Colorado State University forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season project below-normal activity, with 3-6 hurricanes expected amid a strengthening El Niño that increases wind shear and suppresses tropical cyclogenesis. As of early August, only two named storms—Arthur and Bertha—have formed, with zero hurricanes recorded so far against an average of seven. This early inactivity and model consensus favoring reduced formation through November support trader emphasis on the 1-3 or 4-6 ranges, though peak-season conditions and potential forecast revisions from the National Hurricane Center could still shift outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题