Prevailing southwest monsoon conditions combined with strengthening El Niño effects are driving the 68% implied probability on a 33°C high for September 7 in Singapore. Official Meteorological Service Singapore outlooks project daily maxima of 33–35°C through mid-month under dry, southeasterly flow with only isolated afternoon thundery showers possible. Model consensus and recent station readings show typical peaks near 33°C when cloud cover remains limited, consistent with below-average rainfall and elevated regional temperatures. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window before any intensification of showers or haze against climatological baselines, with 34°C as the next most likely outcome if subsidence strengthens further. Updated MSS briefings on September 6 will provide the final observational constraints ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月7日新加坡气温最高?
33°C 68%
32°C 14%
31°C 10%
34°C 10%
28°C或以下
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
10%
32°C
14%
33°C
68%
34°C
10%
35°C
3%
36°C
4%
37°C
4%
38°C或更高
3%
33°C 68%
32°C 14%
31°C 10%
34°C 10%
28°C或以下
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
10%
32°C
14%
33°C
68%
34°C
10%
35°C
3%
36°C
4%
37°C
4%
38°C或更高
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Prevailing southwest monsoon conditions combined with strengthening El Niño effects are driving the 68% implied probability on a 33°C high for September 7 in Singapore. Official Meteorological Service Singapore outlooks project daily maxima of 33–35°C through mid-month under dry, southeasterly flow with only isolated afternoon thundery showers possible. Model consensus and recent station readings show typical peaks near 33°C when cloud cover remains limited, consistent with below-average rainfall and elevated regional temperatures. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window before any intensification of showers or haze against climatological baselines, with 34°C as the next most likely outcome if subsidence strengthens further. Updated MSS briefings on September 6 will provide the final observational constraints ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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