**Trader consensus has locked in 32°C as the highest temperature recorded in Panama City on September 4, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability.** Official meteorological observations from stations in the region, including nearby David/Enrique Malek International Airport, documented a daily maximum of 32°C amid typical late-wet-season conditions with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80%, and light variable winds. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average highs hover around 30°C and brief convective activity can produce small upward spikes without widespread extremes. Model guidance and real-time surface data converged on this value, leaving negligible room for revision. The only realistic challenges would involve post-hoc adjustments to station records, use of an alternative measurement site with a lower peak, or rare data-quality corrections—none of which have materialized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日巴拿马城气温最高？
9月4日巴拿马城气温最高？
32°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25℃ <1%
26°C <1%
$19,633 交易量
$19,633 交易量
2026-09-04
24°C或以下
<1%
25℃
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
32°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25℃ <1%
26°C <1%
$19,633 交易量
$19,633 交易量
2026-09-04
24°C或以下
$130 交易量
<1%
25℃
$990 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,080 交易量
<1%
27°C
$291 交易量
<1%
28°C
$403 交易量
<1%
29°C
$603 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,957 交易量
<1%
31°C
$2,128 交易量
<1%
32°C
$3,635 交易量
100%
33°C
$6,795 交易量
<1%
34°C或更高
$1,623 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked in 32°C as the highest temperature recorded in Panama City on September 4, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability.** Official meteorological observations from stations in the region, including nearby David/Enrique Malek International Airport, documented a daily maximum of 32°C amid typical late-wet-season conditions with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80%, and light variable winds. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average highs hover around 30°C and brief convective activity can produce small upward spikes without widespread extremes. Model guidance and real-time surface data converged on this value, leaving negligible room for revision. The only realistic challenges would involve post-hoc adjustments to station records, use of an alternative measurement site with a lower peak, or rare data-quality corrections—none of which have materialized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$19,633结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked in 32°C as the highest temperature recorded in Panama City on September 4, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability.** Official meteorological observations from stations in the region, including nearby David/Enrique Malek International Airport, documented a daily maximum of 32°C amid typical late-wet-season conditions with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80%, and light variable winds. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average highs hover around 30°C and brief convective activity can produce small upward spikes without widespread extremes. Model guidance and real-time surface data converged on this value, leaving negligible room for revision. The only realistic challenges would involve post-hoc adjustments to station records, use of an alternative measurement site with a lower peak, or rare data-quality corrections—none of which have materialized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19,633结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ET**Trader consensus has locked in 32°C as the highest temperature recorded in Panama City on September 4, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability.** Official meteorological observations from stations in the region, including nearby David/Enrique Malek International Airport, documented a daily maximum of 32°C amid typical late-wet-season conditions with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80%, and light variable winds. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average highs hover around 30°C and brief convective activity can produce small upward spikes without widespread extremes. Model guidance and real-time surface data converged on this value, leaving negligible room for revision. The only realistic challenges would involve post-hoc adjustments to station records, use of an alternative measurement site with a lower peak, or rare data-quality corrections—none of which have materialized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题