Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and meteorological models points to a high of 79–82°F in New York City on September 5, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This aligns with early September climatology, where the long-term average daily maximum at Central Park is near 80°F, and supports the dominant market-implied probability for the 80–81°F bin. Recent observations show stable conditions without significant warm advection or cloud cover that would alter peak readings, while model agreement on modest temperatures reduces uncertainty around higher or lower outcomes. Official verification will rely on Central Park thermometer data, with any late-day adjustments unlikely to shift the range substantially.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日纽约市的最高温度？
9月5日纽约市的最高温度？
80-81华氏度 67%
78-79°F 21%
82-83°F 9%
76-77°F 6%
$30,449 交易量
$30,449 交易量
2026-09-05
69华氏度或以下
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
21%
80-81华氏度
67%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F或更高
<1%
80-81华氏度 67%
78-79°F 21%
82-83°F 9%
76-77°F 6%
$30,449 交易量
$30,449 交易量
2026-09-05
69华氏度或以下
$1,661 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$174 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$638 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$5,753 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$5,321 交易量
6%
78-79°F
$5,436 交易量
21%
80-81华氏度
$4,458 交易量
67%
82-83°F
$4,048 交易量
9%
84-85°F
$1,472 交易量
2%
86-87°F
$1,369 交易量
<1%
88°F或更高
$120 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and meteorological models points to a high of 79–82°F in New York City on September 5, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This aligns with early September climatology, where the long-term average daily maximum at Central Park is near 80°F, and supports the dominant market-implied probability for the 80–81°F bin. Recent observations show stable conditions without significant warm advection or cloud cover that would alter peak readings, while model agreement on modest temperatures reduces uncertainty around higher or lower outcomes. Official verification will rely on Central Park thermometer data, with any late-day adjustments unlikely to shift the range substantially.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$30,449结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and meteorological models points to a high of 79–82°F in New York City on September 5, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This aligns with early September climatology, where the long-term average daily maximum at Central Park is near 80°F, and supports the dominant market-implied probability for the 80–81°F bin. Recent observations show stable conditions without significant warm advection or cloud cover that would alter peak readings, while model agreement on modest temperatures reduces uncertainty around higher or lower outcomes. Official verification will rely on Central Park thermometer data, with any late-day adjustments unlikely to shift the range substantially.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30,449结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETForecast consensus from the National Weather Service and meteorological models points to a high of 79–82°F in New York City on September 5, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This aligns with early September climatology, where the long-term average daily maximum at Central Park is near 80°F, and supports the dominant market-implied probability for the 80–81°F bin. Recent observations show stable conditions without significant warm advection or cloud cover that would alter peak readings, while model agreement on modest temperatures reduces uncertainty around higher or lower outcomes. Official verification will rely on Central Park thermometer data, with any late-day adjustments unlikely to shift the range substantially.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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