Current forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and GFS indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 15 likely falling between 34–36°C, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging over northern Italy that promotes subsidence, clear skies, and warm southerly flow across the Po Valley. Urban heat island effects and low soil moisture from prior weeks amplify daytime maxima, while light winds limit mixing. Ensemble spreads and slight disagreements on exact advection strength create the close market balance between 34°C and 35°C outcomes, with 36°C remaining plausible if models trend warmer in the final runs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日米兰的最高温度？
8月15日米兰的最高温度？
34°C 37%
35°C 34%
36°C 19%
33°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
8%
34°C
37%
35°C
34%
36°C
19%
37°C
4%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 37%
35°C 34%
36°C 19%
33°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
30°C or below
$215 交易量
<1%
31°C
$24 交易量
1%
32°C
$64 交易量
4%
33°C
$80 交易量
8%
34°C
$216 交易量
37%
35°C
$382 交易量
34%
36°C
$79 交易量
19%
37°C
$6 交易量
4%
38°C
$135 交易量
4%
39°C
$7 交易量
1%
40°C or higher
$71 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and GFS indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 15 likely falling between 34–36°C, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging over northern Italy that promotes subsidence, clear skies, and warm southerly flow across the Po Valley. Urban heat island effects and low soil moisture from prior weeks amplify daytime maxima, while light winds limit mixing. Ensemble spreads and slight disagreements on exact advection strength create the close market balance between 34°C and 35°C outcomes, with 36°C remaining plausible if models trend warmer in the final runs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,279结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and GFS indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 15 likely falling between 34–36°C, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging over northern Italy that promotes subsidence, clear skies, and warm southerly flow across the Po Valley. Urban heat island effects and low soil moisture from prior weeks amplify daytime maxima, while light winds limit mixing. Ensemble spreads and slight disagreements on exact advection strength create the close market balance between 34°C and 35°C outcomes, with 36°C remaining plausible if models trend warmer in the final runs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,279结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and GFS indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 15 likely falling between 34–36°C, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging over northern Italy that promotes subsidence, clear skies, and warm southerly flow across the Po Valley. Urban heat island effects and low soil moisture from prior weeks amplify daytime maxima, while light winds limit mixing. Ensemble spreads and slight disagreements on exact advection strength create the close market balance between 34°C and 35°C outcomes, with 36°C remaining plausible if models trend warmer in the final runs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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