Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Denver’s August 1 high in the low-to-mid 90s, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 92–95 °F. Typical early-August normals near 90 °F, yet persistent above-average temperatures driven by a strong high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and downslope warming have elevated readings. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover and light winds, supporting further daytime heating without significant convective cooling. Historical records indicate that while 100 °F+ remains possible under extreme setups, current conditions and short-range guidance make 96 °F or higher less probable. Traders are weighting the latest NWS point forecasts and ensemble runs, which show the highest likelihood clustered between 92–95 °F, with only modest uncertainty from afternoon thunderstorm timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日丹佛最高气温？
8月1日丹佛最高气温？
92-93°F 43%
94-95°F 42%
90-91°F 11%
96-97°F 4%
最新
$12,433 交易量
最新
$12,433 交易量
2026-08-01
81°F或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
11%
92-93°F
43%
94-95°F
42%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
<1%
100华氏度或更高
<1%
92-93°F 43%
94-95°F 42%
90-91°F 11%
96-97°F 4%
最新
$12,433 交易量
最新
$12,433 交易量
2026-08-01
81°F或以下
$339 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$384 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$376 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$1,255 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$1,030 交易量
2%
90-91°F
$1,426 交易量
11%
92-93°F
$1,542 交易量
43%
94-95°F
$4,156 交易量
42%
96-97°F
$962 交易量
4%
98-99°F
$734 交易量
<1%
100华氏度或更高
$231 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Denver’s August 1 high in the low-to-mid 90s, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 92–95 °F. Typical early-August normals near 90 °F, yet persistent above-average temperatures driven by a strong high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and downslope warming have elevated readings. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover and light winds, supporting further daytime heating without significant convective cooling. Historical records indicate that while 100 °F+ remains possible under extreme setups, current conditions and short-range guidance make 96 °F or higher less probable. Traders are weighting the latest NWS point forecasts and ensemble runs, which show the highest likelihood clustered between 92–95 °F, with only modest uncertainty from afternoon thunderstorm timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$12,433结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Denver’s August 1 high in the low-to-mid 90s, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 92–95 °F. Typical early-August normals near 90 °F, yet persistent above-average temperatures driven by a strong high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and downslope warming have elevated readings. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover and light winds, supporting further daytime heating without significant convective cooling. Historical records indicate that while 100 °F+ remains possible under extreme setups, current conditions and short-range guidance make 96 °F or higher less probable. Traders are weighting the latest NWS point forecasts and ensemble runs, which show the highest likelihood clustered between 92–95 °F, with only modest uncertainty from afternoon thunderstorm timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,433结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETCurrent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Denver’s August 1 high in the low-to-mid 90s, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 92–95 °F. Typical early-August normals near 90 °F, yet persistent above-average temperatures driven by a strong high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and downslope warming have elevated readings. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover and light winds, supporting further daytime heating without significant convective cooling. Historical records indicate that while 100 °F+ remains possible under extreme setups, current conditions and short-range guidance make 96 °F or higher less probable. Traders are weighting the latest NWS point forecasts and ensemble runs, which show the highest likelihood clustered between 92–95 °F, with only modest uncertainty from afternoon thunderstorm timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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