Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a peak temperature of 35–37°C in Chongqing on September 6, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, southeasterly winds around 5–10 km/h, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating under low humidity near 30–40%. Current conditions on September 5, with highs near 35°C and clear skies, support modest further warming before a frontal shift expected later in the week. Market-implied odds favoring 37°C reflect trader weighting of upper-end model solutions and historical September variability, while lower probabilities on 35°C or below account for potential afternoon convection or slight cooling from increased moisture. Final resolution will hinge on official station measurements amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日重庆气温最高？
9月6日重庆气温最高？
37°C 47%
36°C 32%
35°C 11%
38°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
11%
36°C
32%
37°C
47%
38°C
10%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C或更高
<1%
37°C 47%
36°C 32%
35°C 11%
38°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
31°C或以下
$190 交易量
<1%
32°C
$294 交易量
<1%
33°C
$177 交易量
<1%
34°C
$363 交易量
2%
35°C
$634 交易量
11%
36°C
$684 交易量
32%
37°C
$1,043 交易量
47%
38°C
$866 交易量
10%
39°C
$229 交易量
3%
40°C
$402 交易量
1%
41°C或更高
$517 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a peak temperature of 35–37°C in Chongqing on September 6, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, southeasterly winds around 5–10 km/h, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating under low humidity near 30–40%. Current conditions on September 5, with highs near 35°C and clear skies, support modest further warming before a frontal shift expected later in the week. Market-implied odds favoring 37°C reflect trader weighting of upper-end model solutions and historical September variability, while lower probabilities on 35°C or below account for potential afternoon convection or slight cooling from increased moisture. Final resolution will hinge on official station measurements amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$5,400结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a peak temperature of 35–37°C in Chongqing on September 6, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, southeasterly winds around 5–10 km/h, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating under low humidity near 30–40%. Current conditions on September 5, with highs near 35°C and clear skies, support modest further warming before a frontal shift expected later in the week. Market-implied odds favoring 37°C reflect trader weighting of upper-end model solutions and historical September variability, while lower probabilities on 35°C or below account for potential afternoon convection or slight cooling from increased moisture. Final resolution will hinge on official station measurements amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,400结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a peak temperature of 35–37°C in Chongqing on September 6, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, southeasterly winds around 5–10 km/h, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating under low humidity near 30–40%. Current conditions on September 5, with highs near 35°C and clear skies, support modest further warming before a frontal shift expected later in the week. Market-implied odds favoring 37°C reflect trader weighting of upper-end model solutions and historical September variability, while lower probabilities on 35°C or below account for potential afternoon convection or slight cooling from increased moisture. Final resolution will hinge on official station measurements amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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