Traders view the AI agent landscape as highly fragmented heading into October, with Other at 50% and numerous companies clustered near that level, signaling no clear frontrunner in a fast-evolving space. Anthropic leads named contenders at 34% on the strength of Claude's demonstrated advances in multi-step tool use, planning, and reliable execution on complex benchmarks. OpenAI sits at 12.5% despite ongoing GPT iterations, while Moonshot, ByteDance, and Alibaba benefit from specialized agent frameworks tailored to regional workflows and lower inference costs. Differentiators center on measurable agentic capabilities such as long-horizon reasoning, API integration reliability, and safety constraints rather than raw model size, with upcoming releases and third-party evaluations poised to reshape trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Anthropic 26%
Moonshot 21%
阿里巴巴 16%
字節跳動 15%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
Anthropic
34%
Moonshot
21%
阿里巴巴
16%
字節跳動
15%
OpenAI
12%
小米
12%
SpaceXAI
10%
亞馬遜
5%
百度
5%
Mistral
4%
微軟
4%
Z.ai
4%
DeepSeek
4%
MiniMax
4%
Nvidia
3%
美團
3%
Meta
3%
9%
Anthropic 26%
Moonshot 21%
阿里巴巴 16%
字節跳動 15%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
Anthropic
$130 交易量
34%
Moonshot
$37 交易量
21%
阿里巴巴
$37 交易量
16%
字節跳動
$42 交易量
15%
OpenAI
$45 交易量
12%
小米
$47 交易量
12%
SpaceXAI
$37 交易量
10%
亞馬遜
$61 交易量
5%
百度
$53 交易量
5%
Mistral
$53 交易量
4%
微軟
$53 交易量
4%
Z.ai
$37 交易量
4%
DeepSeek
$37 交易量
4%
MiniMax
$48 交易量
4%
Nvidia
$53 交易量
3%
美團
$74 交易量
3%
Meta
$42 交易量
3%
$37 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders view the AI agent landscape as highly fragmented heading into October, with Other at 50% and numerous companies clustered near that level, signaling no clear frontrunner in a fast-evolving space. Anthropic leads named contenders at 34% on the strength of Claude's demonstrated advances in multi-step tool use, planning, and reliable execution on complex benchmarks. OpenAI sits at 12.5% despite ongoing GPT iterations, while Moonshot, ByteDance, and Alibaba benefit from specialized agent frameworks tailored to regional workflows and lower inference costs. Differentiators center on measurable agentic capabilities such as long-horizon reasoning, API integration reliability, and safety constraints rather than raw model size, with upcoming releases and third-party evaluations poised to reshape trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
交易量
$920結束日期
2026-10-31市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders view the AI agent landscape as highly fragmented heading into October, with Other at 50% and numerous companies clustered near that level, signaling no clear frontrunner in a fast-evolving space. Anthropic leads named contenders at 34% on the strength of Claude's demonstrated advances in multi-step tool use, planning, and reliable execution on complex benchmarks. OpenAI sits at 12.5% despite ongoing GPT iterations, while Moonshot, ByteDance, and Alibaba benefit from specialized agent frameworks tailored to regional workflows and lower inference costs. Differentiators center on measurable agentic capabilities such as long-horizon reasoning, API integration reliability, and safety constraints rather than raw model size, with upcoming releases and third-party evaluations poised to reshape trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
交易量
$920結束日期
2026-10-31市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders view the AI agent landscape as highly fragmented heading into October, with Other at 50% and numerous companies clustered near that level, signaling no clear frontrunner in a fast-evolving space. Anthropic leads named contenders at 34% on the strength of Claude's demonstrated advances in multi-step tool use, planning, and reliable execution on complex benchmarks. OpenAI sits at 12.5% despite ongoing GPT iterations, while Moonshot, ByteDance, and Alibaba benefit from specialized agent frameworks tailored to regional workflows and lower inference costs. Differentiators center on measurable agentic capabilities such as long-horizon reasoning, API integration reliability, and safety constraints rather than raw model size, with upcoming releases and third-party evaluations poised to reshape trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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