Rapid iteration among frontier AI labs drives the closely matched odds across multiple companies for the top LiveBench overall score by end of October. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 currently leads recent snapshots at 83%, narrowly ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and GPT-5.5 variants, reflecting strong gains in reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks that define the contamination-resistant benchmark. Google, Meta, and xAI trail in current evaluations but retain upside from expected model refreshes or capability jumps within the next ten weeks. Traders price in the risk of new releases shifting the leaderboard, while noting historical patterns where incremental updates and inference optimizations can quickly close small gaps between leaders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Google 32%
Meta 30%
Thinky 25%
Baidu 25%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
25%
Meta
25%
Thinky
14%
Baidu
20%
Z.ai
16%
Alibaba
23%
OpenAI
23%
Mistral
24%
Microsoft
22%
MiniMax
12%
Meituan
19%
Amazon
18%
StepFun
14%
DeepSeek
14%
ByteDance
15%
Moonshot
24%
Nvidia
18%
Xiaomi
20%
Anthropic
15%
Tencent
24%
SpaceXAI
33%
Google 32%
Meta 30%
Thinky 25%
Baidu 25%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
$33 交易量
25%
Meta
$20 交易量
25%
Thinky
$20 交易量
14%
Baidu
$20 交易量
20%
Z.ai
$20 交易量
16%
Alibaba
$0 交易量
23%
OpenAI
$0 交易量
23%
Mistral
$33 交易量
24%
Microsoft
$0 交易量
22%
MiniMax
$20 交易量
12%
Meituan
$0 交易量
19%
Amazon
$0 交易量
18%
StepFun
$20 交易量
14%
DeepSeek
$0 交易量
14%
ByteDance
$20 交易量
15%
Moonshot
$20 交易量
24%
Nvidia
$20 交易量
18%
Xiaomi
$20 交易量
20%
Anthropic
$20 交易量
15%
Tencent
$20 交易量
24%
SpaceXAI
$20 交易量
33%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Rapid iteration among frontier AI labs drives the closely matched odds across multiple companies for the top LiveBench overall score by end of October. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 currently leads recent snapshots at 83%, narrowly ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and GPT-5.5 variants, reflecting strong gains in reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks that define the contamination-resistant benchmark. Google, Meta, and xAI trail in current evaluations but retain upside from expected model refreshes or capability jumps within the next ten weeks. Traders price in the risk of new releases shifting the leaderboard, while noting historical patterns where incremental updates and inference optimizations can quickly close small gaps between leaders.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
交易量
$326結束日期
2026-10-31市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Rapid iteration among frontier AI labs drives the closely matched odds across multiple companies for the top LiveBench overall score by end of October. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 currently leads recent snapshots at 83%, narrowly ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and GPT-5.5 variants, reflecting strong gains in reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks that define the contamination-resistant benchmark. Google, Meta, and xAI trail in current evaluations but retain upside from expected model refreshes or capability jumps within the next ten weeks. Traders price in the risk of new releases shifting the leaderboard, while noting historical patterns where incremental updates and inference optimizations can quickly close small gaps between leaders.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
交易量
$326結束日期
2026-10-31市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Rapid iteration among frontier AI labs drives the closely matched odds across multiple companies for the top LiveBench overall score by end of October. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 currently leads recent snapshots at 83%, narrowly ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and GPT-5.5 variants, reflecting strong gains in reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks that define the contamination-resistant benchmark. Google, Meta, and xAI trail in current evaluations but retain upside from expected model refreshes or capability jumps within the next ten weeks. Traders price in the risk of new releases shifting the leaderboard, while noting historical patterns where incremental updates and inference optimizations can quickly close small gaps between leaders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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