Trader sentiment for the next Gemini Pro release reflects ongoing delays around the Gemini 3.5 Pro model, first teased at Google I/O in May 2026 with an initial “next month” internal rollout target that has already slipped past June and July. As of early August, Google’s official model pages still list Gemini 3.1 Pro as the flagship with a “3.5 Pro coming soon” badge, and no public API endpoint or pricing has appeared. Competitive pressure from rival frontier models, combined with Google’s pattern of thorough safety and capability testing before wide release, keeps mid-to-late August dates clustered in the 30-43% range. Key swing factors include any surprise developer conference appearances, internal testing milestones, or last-minute regulatory reviews that could accelerate or further postpone the launch.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於August 10 32.2%
August 27 32%
August 13 29%
August 25 29%
On or prior to August 1
1%
August 2
1%
August 3
-
August 4
28%
August 5
30%
August 6
6%
August 7
28%
August 8
5%
August 9
6%
August 10
32%
August 11
32%
August 12
-
August 13
29%
August 14
22%
August 15
1%
August 16
10%
August 17
27%
August 18
24%
August 19
28%
August 20
28%
August 21
-
August 22
-
August 23
28%
August 24
-
August 25
29%
August 26
-
August 27
32%
August 28
30%
August 29
19%
August 30
21%
August 31
1%
No release by August 31
12%
August 10 32.2%
August 27 32%
August 13 29%
August 25 29%
On or prior to August 1
1%
August 2
1%
August 3
-
August 4
28%
August 5
30%
August 6
6%
August 7
28%
August 8
5%
August 9
6%
August 10
32%
August 11
32%
August 12
-
August 13
29%
August 14
22%
August 15
1%
August 16
10%
August 17
27%
August 18
24%
August 19
28%
August 20
28%
August 21
-
August 22
-
August 23
28%
August 24
-
August 25
29%
August 26
-
August 27
32%
August 28
30%
August 29
19%
August 30
21%
August 31
1%
No release by August 31
12%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the next Gemini Pro release reflects ongoing delays around the Gemini 3.5 Pro model, first teased at Google I/O in May 2026 with an initial “next month” internal rollout target that has already slipped past June and July. As of early August, Google’s official model pages still list Gemini 3.1 Pro as the flagship with a “3.5 Pro coming soon” badge, and no public API endpoint or pricing has appeared. Competitive pressure from rival frontier models, combined with Google’s pattern of thorough safety and capability testing before wide release, keeps mid-to-late August dates clustered in the 30-43% range. Key swing factors include any surprise developer conference appearances, internal testing milestones, or last-minute regulatory reviews that could accelerate or further postpone the launch.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions