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icon for 最大的公司在2026年12月底？
經濟艙·商務

最大的公司在2026年12月底？

icon for 最大的公司在2026年12月底？
經濟艙·商務

最大的公司在2026年12月底？

8月 31

9月 30

12月 31

8月 31

9月 30

12月 31

輝達 78%

蘋果 12.0%

Alphabet 9%

SpaceX <1%

Polymarket

$6,027,345 交易量

輝達 78%

蘋果 12.0%

Alphabet 9%

SpaceX <1%

Polymarket

$6,027,345 交易量

icon for 輝達

輝達

$1,059,370 交易量

78%

icon for 蘋果

蘋果

$820,348 交易量

12%

icon for Alphabet

Alphabet

$625,072 交易量

9%

icon for SpaceX

SpaceX

$497,815 交易量

1%

icon for 微軟

微軟

$797,847 交易量

1%

icon for 沙烏地阿美

沙烏地阿美

$779,187 交易量

<1%

icon for 特斯拉

特斯拉

$689,993 交易量

<1%

icon for 亞馬遜

亞馬遜

$757,715 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's commanding lead in AI chip supply and data-center revenue growth underpins its 78% implied probability of holding the top market capitalization by December 2026. Recent earnings show data-center sales surging past $90 billion annually, fueled by sustained hyperscaler spending on GPUs and expanded offerings in AI software and physical AI platforms. Apple and Alphabet trail at 11.9% and 8.5% odds, respectively, reflecting their smaller exposure to the highest-growth AI infrastructure segment despite solid overall valuations near $4.4 trillion and $4.2–4.5 trillion. Microsoft and lower-probability names face steeper competitive gaps. With roughly four months remaining, trader consensus embeds continued AI capex momentum while acknowledging risks from potential demand shifts or competitive breakthroughs that could alter relative market values.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$6,027,345
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's commanding lead in AI chip supply and data-center revenue growth underpins its 78% implied probability of holding the top market capitalization by December 2026. Recent earnings show data-center sales surging past $90 billion annually, fueled by sustained hyperscaler spending on GPUs and expanded offerings in AI software and physical AI platforms. Apple and Alphabet trail at 11.9% and 8.5% odds, respectively, reflecting their smaller exposure to the highest-growth AI infrastructure segment despite solid overall valuations near $4.4 trillion and $4.2–4.5 trillion. Microsoft and lower-probability names face steeper competitive gaps. With roughly four months remaining, trader consensus embeds continued AI capex momentum while acknowledging risks from potential demand shifts or competitive breakthroughs that could alter relative market values.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$6,027,345
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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蘋果會在12月31日成為全球市值第二大的公司嗎？

39%
是
icon for Alphabet 會成為 12 月 31 日時全球市值第三大的公司嗎？

Alphabet 會成為 12 月 31 日時全球市值第三大的公司嗎？

44%
是
icon for Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

97%

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"最大的公司在2026年12月底？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "輝達" at 78%, followed by "蘋果" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "最大的公司在2026年12月底？" has generated $6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "最大的公司在2026年12月底？," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "最大的公司在2026年12月底？" is "輝達" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "蘋果" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "最大的公司在2026年12月底？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.