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Claude 預測與賠率

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Claude Mythos: Coding Arena Debut?

Claude Mythos: Coding Arena Debut?

82%

1520+

$82.7K 交易量

$82.7K today

$28.8K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

64%

45%+

$317K 交易量

$13.9K Liq.

19

Ends 20 天內

Will Claude go down on __ days in June?

Will Claude go down on __ days in June?

36%

9-11

$9.7K 交易量

$8.2K Liq.

Ends 20 天內

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

80%

50%+

$66.9K 交易量

$2.3K Liq.

13

Ends 20 天內

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?

89%

↓ 450.0k

$7.2K 交易量

$89 Liq.

Ends 20 天內

Claude Code Commits End of June?

Claude Code Commits End of June?

39%

750.0k+

$1.5K 交易量

$2.4K Liq.

Ends 20 天內

Best AI model on June 13?

Best AI model on June 13?

63%

Other

$26.7K 交易量

$40.2K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner

NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner

84%

Nikita Kucherov

$733K 交易量

$7.9K Liq.

3

Ends 20 天內

CA-40 Primary Winners

CA-40 Primary Winners

100%

Young Kim

$16.6K 交易量

$40.9K Liq.

1

Ends 8 天前

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

58%

ChatGPT

$7.7K 交易量

$6.7K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?

6%

Claude by Anthropic

$1.3K 交易量

$7.9K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

59%

Claude by Anthropic

$2.1K 交易量

$3.2K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?

43%

Claude by Anthropic

$776 交易量

$1.2K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (June 10)

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (June 10)

98%

Right

$316 交易量

$2.7K Liq.

Ends 大約 24 小時內

ITF Nice: Jenny Lim vs Margaux Rouvroy

ITF Nice: Jenny Lim vs Margaux Rouvroy

50%

Margaux Rouvroy

$790 交易量

$7.4K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

ITF Zagreb: Amarissa Kiara Toth vs Caroline Werner

ITF Zagreb: Amarissa Kiara Toth vs Caroline Werner

56%

Caroline Werner

$12 交易量

$5.8K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

28%

December 31, 2026

$324K 交易量

$5.6K Liq.

111

Ends 7 個月內

ITF Los Angeles: Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta vs Jasmine Conway

ITF Los Angeles: Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta vs Jasmine Conway

64%

Jasmine Conway

$41 交易量

$2.4K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Libema Open (Doubles): Andreescu/Boisson vs Koevermans/Lamens

Libema Open (Doubles): Andreescu/Boisson vs Koevermans/Lamens

50%

Koevermans/Lamens

$0 交易量

$3 Liq.

Ends 6 天內

ITF Kayseri: Charles Chen vs Felipe Jose Rivadeneira Gallegos

ITF Kayseri: Charles Chen vs Felipe Jose Rivadeneira Gallegos

78%

Charles Chen

$0 交易量

$1.6K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Claude.

Polymarket currently hosts 122 active markets for Claude that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Claude Mythos: Coding Arena Debut?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “ITF Los Angeles: Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta vs Jasmine Conway”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 84% chance to Nikita Kucherov. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Claude predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.