Anthropic’s most recent flagship, Claude Opus 5, launched on July 24, 2026, with 1M-token context and strong agentic benchmarks at half the price of Fable 5. Trader sentiment for the next Opus release centers on unconfirmed social-media routing claims pointing to a possible Opus 5.2 rollout as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, driving Polymarket odds sharply toward September. The company’s rapid cadence—multiple Opus 4.x iterations earlier in 2026 followed by the full 5-series jump—supports expectations of continued iteration, though no official announcement, model card, or API identifier has appeared. Key near-term catalysts include any developer conference updates, safety-related disclosures, or competitive pressure from rival frontier models that could accelerate or delay the next Opus tier.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$142,455 交易量
2026-09-30
9 月 30 日
81%
9月17日
4%
9 月 20 日
9%
9月24日
65%
9月27日
82%
10月31日
98%
12月31日
98%
$142,455 交易量
9 月 30 日
$65,129 交易量
81%
9月17日
$7,931 交易量
4%
9 月 20 日
$4,202 交易量
9%
9月24日
$3,117 交易量
65%
9月27日
$2,134 交易量
82%
10月31日
$13,502 交易量
98%
12月31日
$5,146 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s most recent flagship, Claude Opus 5, launched on July 24, 2026, with 1M-token context and strong agentic benchmarks at half the price of Fable 5. Trader sentiment for the next Opus release centers on unconfirmed social-media routing claims pointing to a possible Opus 5.2 rollout as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, driving Polymarket odds sharply toward September. The company’s rapid cadence—multiple Opus 4.x iterations earlier in 2026 followed by the full 5-series jump—supports expectations of continued iteration, though no official announcement, model card, or API identifier has appeared. Key near-term catalysts include any developer conference updates, safety-related disclosures, or competitive pressure from rival frontier models that could accelerate or delay the next Opus tier.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
交易量
$142,455結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s most recent flagship, Claude Opus 5, launched on July 24, 2026, with 1M-token context and strong agentic benchmarks at half the price of Fable 5. Trader sentiment for the next Opus release centers on unconfirmed social-media routing claims pointing to a possible Opus 5.2 rollout as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, driving Polymarket odds sharply toward September. The company’s rapid cadence—multiple Opus 4.x iterations earlier in 2026 followed by the full 5-series jump—supports expectations of continued iteration, though no official announcement, model card, or API identifier has appeared. Key near-term catalysts include any developer conference updates, safety-related disclosures, or competitive pressure from rival frontier models that could accelerate or delay the next Opus tier.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$142,455結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETAnthropic’s most recent flagship, Claude Opus 5, launched on July 24, 2026, with 1M-token context and strong agentic benchmarks at half the price of Fable 5. Trader sentiment for the next Opus release centers on unconfirmed social-media routing claims pointing to a possible Opus 5.2 rollout as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, driving Polymarket odds sharply toward September. The company’s rapid cadence—multiple Opus 4.x iterations earlier in 2026 followed by the full 5-series jump—supports expectations of continued iteration, though no official announcement, model card, or API identifier has appeared. Key near-term catalysts include any developer conference updates, safety-related disclosures, or competitive pressure from rival frontier models that could accelerate or delay the next Opus tier.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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