**Recent announcements from leading AI labs have sharply defined trader sentiment around commitments to ongoing, embedded third-party vetting.** On September 12, 2026, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei outlined a concrete plan for independent evaluators to receive employee-level access—including office desks, badges, laptops, and development environments—allowing continuous oversight of training processes and safety practices rather than snapshot pre-release reviews. Reviewers would publish findings with minimal redaction and no editorial control by Anthropic. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman quickly endorsed the approach the same day, stating the company would match the commitment and provide more details soon, while aligning on the need to “pace the frontier.” Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis publicly backed the direction. These pledges align closely with the market’s criteria for employee-level, ongoing access to systems and models, distinguishing them from existing pre-deployment agreements such as those with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI). They follow closely on California’s September 9–10 signing of SB 813 and AB 1405, which create frameworks for certified independent verification organizations, and earlier Illinois mandates for annual third-party audits—measures both Anthropic and OpenAI supported. Other labs, including xAI, Google, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta, have not issued comparable commitments as of mid-September, leaving limited time before the October 31 deadline. Traders are therefore pricing in strong likelihood for Anthropic and OpenAI while viewing outcomes for the remaining labs as more uncertain, hinging on any rapid follow-on announcements or further regulatory pressure in the coming weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$33,659 交易量

43%

SpaceXAI
43%

Microsoft
32%

Meta
25%

Amazon
19%

Moonshot
18%

Mistral
13%

阿里巴巴
8%

美團
8%

Z.ai
7%

百度
7%

DeepSeek
7%

字節跳動
6%
$33,659 交易量

43%

SpaceXAI
43%

Microsoft
32%

Meta
25%

Amazon
19%

Moonshot
18%

Mistral
13%

阿里巴巴
8%

美團
8%

Z.ai
7%

百度
7%

DeepSeek
7%

字節跳動
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above.
If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Sep 14, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above.
If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Recent announcements from leading AI labs have sharply defined trader sentiment around commitments to ongoing, embedded third-party vetting.** On September 12, 2026, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei outlined a concrete plan for independent evaluators to receive employee-level access—including office desks, badges, laptops, and development environments—allowing continuous oversight of training processes and safety practices rather than snapshot pre-release reviews. Reviewers would publish findings with minimal redaction and no editorial control by Anthropic. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman quickly endorsed the approach the same day, stating the company would match the commitment and provide more details soon, while aligning on the need to “pace the frontier.” Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis publicly backed the direction. These pledges align closely with the market’s criteria for employee-level, ongoing access to systems and models, distinguishing them from existing pre-deployment agreements such as those with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI). They follow closely on California’s September 9–10 signing of SB 813 and AB 1405, which create frameworks for certified independent verification organizations, and earlier Illinois mandates for annual third-party audits—measures both Anthropic and OpenAI supported. Other labs, including xAI, Google, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta, have not issued comparable commitments as of mid-September, leaving limited time before the October 31 deadline. Traders are therefore pricing in strong likelihood for Anthropic and OpenAI while viewing outcomes for the remaining labs as more uncertain, hinging on any rapid follow-on announcements or further regulatory pressure in the coming weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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