Z.ai has maintained an aggressive release cadence for its GLM series, shipping GLM-5 in February 2026, GLM-5.1 in April, GLM-5.2 in June, and GLM-5.3 on August 14, 2026, each iteration targeting gains in agentic engineering, long-horizon tasks, and coding benchmarks such as SWE-Bench Pro. The models leverage mixture-of-experts scaling, DeepSeek Sparse Attention for efficiency, and training on domestic Huawei Ascend hardware amid U.S. export restrictions, while open-weight releases under the MIT license on Hugging Face have broadened developer adoption. Trader sentiment reflects expectations that this momentum, combined with competitive pressure from Western frontier labs and consistent API/platform rollouts, will drive GLM-5.4 or later variants within the next several months. Key upcoming catalysts include further benchmark disclosures, potential context-window expansions beyond 1M tokens, and any regulatory or compute-related announcements that could alter timelines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-09-30
9 月 30 日
55%
10 月 31 日
62%
$1,631 交易量
9 月 30 日
$538 交易量
55%
10 月 31 日
$1,093 交易量
62%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Z.ai has maintained an aggressive release cadence for its GLM series, shipping GLM-5 in February 2026, GLM-5.1 in April, GLM-5.2 in June, and GLM-5.3 on August 14, 2026, each iteration targeting gains in agentic engineering, long-horizon tasks, and coding benchmarks such as SWE-Bench Pro. The models leverage mixture-of-experts scaling, DeepSeek Sparse Attention for efficiency, and training on domestic Huawei Ascend hardware amid U.S. export restrictions, while open-weight releases under the MIT license on Hugging Face have broadened developer adoption. Trader sentiment reflects expectations that this momentum, combined with competitive pressure from Western frontier labs and consistent API/platform rollouts, will drive GLM-5.4 or later variants within the next several months. Key upcoming catalysts include further benchmark disclosures, potential context-window expansions beyond 1M tokens, and any regulatory or compute-related announcements that could alter timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
交易量
$1,631結束日期
2026-10-31市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Z.ai has maintained an aggressive release cadence for its GLM series, shipping GLM-5 in February 2026, GLM-5.1 in April, GLM-5.2 in June, and GLM-5.3 on August 14, 2026, each iteration targeting gains in agentic engineering, long-horizon tasks, and coding benchmarks such as SWE-Bench Pro. The models leverage mixture-of-experts scaling, DeepSeek Sparse Attention for efficiency, and training on domestic Huawei Ascend hardware amid U.S. export restrictions, while open-weight releases under the MIT license on Hugging Face have broadened developer adoption. Trader sentiment reflects expectations that this momentum, combined with competitive pressure from Western frontier labs and consistent API/platform rollouts, will drive GLM-5.4 or later variants within the next several months. Key upcoming catalysts include further benchmark disclosures, potential context-window expansions beyond 1M tokens, and any regulatory or compute-related announcements that could alter timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,631結束日期
2026-10-31市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Z.ai has maintained an aggressive release cadence for its GLM series, shipping GLM-5 in February 2026, GLM-5.1 in April, GLM-5.2 in June, and GLM-5.3 on August 14, 2026, each iteration targeting gains in agentic engineering, long-horizon tasks, and coding benchmarks such as SWE-Bench Pro. The models leverage mixture-of-experts scaling, DeepSeek Sparse Attention for efficiency, and training on domestic Huawei Ascend hardware amid U.S. export restrictions, while open-weight releases under the MIT license on Hugging Face have broadened developer adoption. Trader sentiment reflects expectations that this momentum, combined with competitive pressure from Western frontier labs and consistent API/platform rollouts, will drive GLM-5.4 or later variants within the next several months. Key upcoming catalysts include further benchmark disclosures, potential context-window expansions beyond 1M tokens, and any regulatory or compute-related announcements that could alter timelines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions