Traders view the race for second-best Code Arena WebDev AI lab by end of October as wide open, with multiple labs clustered near 43-50% implied probability due to rapid iteration in coding-focused large language models. OpenAI and SpaceXAI hold slight edges at 44%, trailed closely by Z.ai, DeepSeek, and others, reflecting how performance on web development benchmarks, framework integration, and real-world developer adoption can shift quickly. Differentiating factors include recent model releases emphasizing code generation accuracy, context handling for complex web apps, and safety features, alongside competition from Anthropic, Meta, Google, and specialized players like Poolside. New benchmark results or capability demos in the coming weeks remain key swing factors in this fragmented field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於OpenAI 51%
字節跳動 51%
Thinky 51%
Anthropic 50%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
OpenAI
51%
字節跳動
51%
Thinky
51%
Anthropic
50%
Z.ai
50%
DeepSeek
49%
騰訊
49%
Meta
46%
SpaceXAI
46%
Poolside
44%
小米
44%
谷歌
41%
Moonshot
38%
阿里巴巴
26%
MiniMax
26%
Mistral
24%
OpenAI 51%
字節跳動 51%
Thinky 51%
Anthropic 50%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
OpenAI
$0 交易量
51%
字節跳動
$0 交易量
51%
Thinky
$0 交易量
51%
Anthropic
$0 交易量
50%
Z.ai
$0 交易量
50%
DeepSeek
$0 交易量
49%
騰訊
$0 交易量
49%
Meta
$0 交易量
46%
SpaceXAI
$0 交易量
46%
Poolside
$0 交易量
44%
小米
$0 交易量
44%
谷歌
$0 交易量
41%
Moonshot
$0 交易量
38%
阿里巴巴
$0 交易量
26%
MiniMax
$0 交易量
26%
Mistral
$0 交易量
24%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders view the race for second-best Code Arena WebDev AI lab by end of October as wide open, with multiple labs clustered near 43-50% implied probability due to rapid iteration in coding-focused large language models. OpenAI and SpaceXAI hold slight edges at 44%, trailed closely by Z.ai, DeepSeek, and others, reflecting how performance on web development benchmarks, framework integration, and real-world developer adoption can shift quickly. Differentiating factors include recent model releases emphasizing code generation accuracy, context handling for complex web apps, and safety features, alongside competition from Anthropic, Meta, Google, and specialized players like Poolside. New benchmark results or capability demos in the coming weeks remain key swing factors in this fragmented field.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-31市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders view the race for second-best Code Arena WebDev AI lab by end of October as wide open, with multiple labs clustered near 43-50% implied probability due to rapid iteration in coding-focused large language models. OpenAI and SpaceXAI hold slight edges at 44%, trailed closely by Z.ai, DeepSeek, and others, reflecting how performance on web development benchmarks, framework integration, and real-world developer adoption can shift quickly. Differentiating factors include recent model releases emphasizing code generation accuracy, context handling for complex web apps, and safety features, alongside competition from Anthropic, Meta, Google, and specialized players like Poolside. New benchmark results or capability demos in the coming weeks remain key swing factors in this fragmented field.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-31市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders view the race for second-best Code Arena WebDev AI lab by end of October as wide open, with multiple labs clustered near 43-50% implied probability due to rapid iteration in coding-focused large language models. OpenAI and SpaceXAI hold slight edges at 44%, trailed closely by Z.ai, DeepSeek, and others, reflecting how performance on web development benchmarks, framework integration, and real-world developer adoption can shift quickly. Differentiating factors include recent model releases emphasizing code generation accuracy, context handling for complex web apps, and safety features, alongside competition from Anthropic, Meta, Google, and specialized players like Poolside. New benchmark results or capability demos in the coming weeks remain key swing factors in this fragmented field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions