**Republican incumbency and the district's established partisan profile anchor trader consensus at 87% for the Republican Party in the NY-02 House race.** Long Island's 2nd district has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Andrew Garbarino advanced through the June 2026 primary without opposition on the ballot and holds a substantial fundraising edge, while Democrat Patrick Halpin emerged from an uncontested Democratic primary. No significant polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or national political events have altered the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election. The 13.5% Democratic price aligns with the district's structural Republican advantage and limited competitive history.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$17,563 交易量
$17,563 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
14%
$17,563 交易量
$17,563 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
$7,102 交易量
87%
Democratic Party
$10,461 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbency and the district's established partisan profile anchor trader consensus at 87% for the Republican Party in the NY-02 House race.** Long Island's 2nd district has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Andrew Garbarino advanced through the June 2026 primary without opposition on the ballot and holds a substantial fundraising edge, while Democrat Patrick Halpin emerged from an uncontested Democratic primary. No significant polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or national political events have altered the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election. The 13.5% Democratic price aligns with the district's structural Republican advantage and limited competitive history.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$17,563結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbency and the district's established partisan profile anchor trader consensus at 87% for the Republican Party in the NY-02 House race.** Long Island's 2nd district has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Andrew Garbarino advanced through the June 2026 primary without opposition on the ballot and holds a substantial fundraising edge, while Democrat Patrick Halpin emerged from an uncontested Democratic primary. No significant polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or national political events have altered the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election. The 13.5% Democratic price aligns with the district's structural Republican advantage and limited competitive history.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,563結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican incumbency and the district's established partisan profile anchor trader consensus at 87% for the Republican Party in the NY-02 House race.** Long Island's 2nd district has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Andrew Garbarino advanced through the June 2026 primary without opposition on the ballot and holds a substantial fundraising edge, while Democrat Patrick Halpin emerged from an uncontested Democratic primary. No significant polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or national political events have altered the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election. The 13.5% Democratic price aligns with the district's structural Republican advantage and limited competitive history.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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