**Trader sentiment for Manila's September 18 minimum temperature centers on monsoon-driven overnight conditions that favor a low near 25–26°C.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated dew points near 24–25°C from the southwest monsoon limit radiational cooling, while light winds and high humidity (often 90%+ at night) keep temperatures from dropping further. Official forecasts from sources like GFS and local monitoring consistently project overnight lows of 25–26°C, aligning with the tight market pricing between those outcomes. Slight model variations in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and urban heat retention create the narrow spread to 24°C, with lower probabilities reflecting historical rarity of deeper cooling during peak wet-season conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
9月18日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
20°C或以下 90%
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
22°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
20°C或以下
90%
21°C
14%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
20°C或以下 90%
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
22°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
90%
21°C
$0 交易量
14%
22°C
$0 交易量
18%
23°C
$0 交易量
18%
24°C
$0 交易量
50%
25°C
$0 交易量
50%
26°C
$4,104 交易量
1%
27°C
$158 交易量
<1%
28°C
$0 交易量
<1%
29°C
$0 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila's September 18 minimum temperature centers on monsoon-driven overnight conditions that favor a low near 25–26°C.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated dew points near 24–25°C from the southwest monsoon limit radiational cooling, while light winds and high humidity (often 90%+ at night) keep temperatures from dropping further. Official forecasts from sources like GFS and local monitoring consistently project overnight lows of 25–26°C, aligning with the tight market pricing between those outcomes. Slight model variations in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and urban heat retention create the narrow spread to 24°C, with lower probabilities reflecting historical rarity of deeper cooling during peak wet-season conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$4,263結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila's September 18 minimum temperature centers on monsoon-driven overnight conditions that favor a low near 25–26°C.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated dew points near 24–25°C from the southwest monsoon limit radiational cooling, while light winds and high humidity (often 90%+ at night) keep temperatures from dropping further. Official forecasts from sources like GFS and local monitoring consistently project overnight lows of 25–26°C, aligning with the tight market pricing between those outcomes. Slight model variations in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and urban heat retention create the narrow spread to 24°C, with lower probabilities reflecting historical rarity of deeper cooling during peak wet-season conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,263結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Manila's September 18 minimum temperature centers on monsoon-driven overnight conditions that favor a low near 25–26°C.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated dew points near 24–25°C from the southwest monsoon limit radiational cooling, while light winds and high humidity (often 90%+ at night) keep temperatures from dropping further. Official forecasts from sources like GFS and local monitoring consistently project overnight lows of 25–26°C, aligning with the tight market pricing between those outcomes. Slight model variations in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and urban heat retention create the narrow spread to 24°C, with lower probabilities reflecting historical rarity of deeper cooling during peak wet-season conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions