**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 24°C as the highest temperature recorded in Chengdu on September 18, 2026.** Multiple forecast models and observational updates, including those aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance, project a daytime maximum near 24°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and scattered light rain or drizzle that limits diurnal heating. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance show temperatures peaking in the mid-20s Celsius range without significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Historical September averages for the region (roughly 25°C highs) provide context, but today's stable boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover support the lower end of that range. Only unexpected rapid clearing or model error exceeding typical uncertainty could realistically shift the outcome to 25°C or higher, or below 24°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日成都最高溫度？
9月18日成都最高溫度？
24°C 99%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
20°C或以下 <1%
$27,400 交易量
$27,400 交易量
2026-09-18
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
99%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
24°C 99%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
20°C或以下 <1%
$27,400 交易量
$27,400 交易量
2026-09-18
20°C或以下
$539 交易量
<1%
21°C
$221 交易量
<1%
22°C
$2,637 交易量
<1%
23°C
$4,302 交易量
<1%
24°C
$5,757 交易量
99%
25°C
$3,268 交易量
1%
26°C
$2,250 交易量
<1%
27°C
$5,873 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,500 交易量
<1%
29°C
$696 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$357 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 24°C as the highest temperature recorded in Chengdu on September 18, 2026.** Multiple forecast models and observational updates, including those aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance, project a daytime maximum near 24°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and scattered light rain or drizzle that limits diurnal heating. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance show temperatures peaking in the mid-20s Celsius range without significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Historical September averages for the region (roughly 25°C highs) provide context, but today's stable boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover support the lower end of that range. Only unexpected rapid clearing or model error exceeding typical uncertainty could realistically shift the outcome to 25°C or higher, or below 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$27,400結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 24°C as the highest temperature recorded in Chengdu on September 18, 2026.** Multiple forecast models and observational updates, including those aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance, project a daytime maximum near 24°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and scattered light rain or drizzle that limits diurnal heating. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance show temperatures peaking in the mid-20s Celsius range without significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Historical September averages for the region (roughly 25°C highs) provide context, but today's stable boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover support the lower end of that range. Only unexpected rapid clearing or model error exceeding typical uncertainty could realistically shift the outcome to 25°C or higher, or below 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$27,400結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 24°C as the highest temperature recorded in Chengdu on September 18, 2026.** Multiple forecast models and observational updates, including those aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance, project a daytime maximum near 24°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and scattered light rain or drizzle that limits diurnal heating. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance show temperatures peaking in the mid-20s Celsius range without significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Historical September averages for the region (roughly 25°C highs) provide context, but today's stable boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover support the lower end of that range. Only unexpected rapid clearing or model error exceeding typical uncertainty could realistically shift the outcome to 25°C or higher, or below 24°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions