Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to a highest temperature near 34–36°C on September 20 amid partly cloudy skies and a 30–40% chance of thunderstorms, driven by lingering subtropical moisture and weak steering flow typical of mid-September. Model runs show modest daytime heating under variable cloud cover, with precipitation timing the key uncertainty that could suppress or briefly allow peaks near the historical high of 36.1°C set in 2024. The long-term average high is 31.6°C, and current conditions align with a narrow window for 34–38°C outcomes that traders are pricing closely. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers will refine resolution thresholds in the final 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日廣州最高溫度?
36°C 23%
34°C 21%
38°C 21%
33°C 19%
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
19%
34°C
21%
35°C
16%
36°C
23%
37°C
13%
38°C
21%
39°C或以上
<1%
36°C 23%
34°C 21%
38°C 21%
33°C 19%
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
19%
34°C
21%
35°C
16%
36°C
23%
37°C
13%
38°C
21%
39°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to a highest temperature near 34–36°C on September 20 amid partly cloudy skies and a 30–40% chance of thunderstorms, driven by lingering subtropical moisture and weak steering flow typical of mid-September. Model runs show modest daytime heating under variable cloud cover, with precipitation timing the key uncertainty that could suppress or briefly allow peaks near the historical high of 36.1°C set in 2024. The long-term average high is 31.6°C, and current conditions align with a narrow window for 34–38°C outcomes that traders are pricing closely. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers will refine resolution thresholds in the final 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions