Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates a peak temperature near 36°C in Jeddah on September 20, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds typical of late-summer Red Sea patterns. Historical September maxima average around 37–38°C, but current stable conditions and moderate humidity levels support the market's strong emphasis on 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Minor variations in steering flow or daytime heating could shift the exact high by 1–2°C, with updated runs and observational data from the next 48 hours likely to narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達9月20日的最高溫度?
36°C 49%
37°C 32%
39°C 15%
38°C 11%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
7%
34°C
5%
35°C
8%
36°C
49%
37°C
32%
38°C
11%
39°C
15%
40°C或以上
<1%
36°C 49%
37°C 32%
39°C 15%
38°C 11%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
7%
34°C
5%
35°C
8%
36°C
49%
37°C
32%
38°C
11%
39°C
15%
40°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates a peak temperature near 36°C in Jeddah on September 20, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds typical of late-summer Red Sea patterns. Historical September maxima average around 37–38°C, but current stable conditions and moderate humidity levels support the market's strong emphasis on 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Minor variations in steering flow or daytime heating could shift the exact high by 1–2°C, with updated runs and observational data from the next 48 hours likely to narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions