Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting agencies converge on a high near 70°F for San Francisco on September 17, reflecting typical September marine-layer moderation and southwest flow that limits inland warming. Slight morning drizzle potential and gradual afternoon clearing introduce modest uncertainty around the exact peak, with ensemble spreads supporting the tight clustering between 70–73°F. Recent early-month heat anomalies have given way to more seasonable conditions near the long-term average high of about 71°F, while variable coastal stratus timing and wind shifts remain the key variables that could nudge readings one bin higher or lower by resolution time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山9月17日的最高溫度？
舊金山9月17日的最高溫度？
70-71°F 48%
72-73°F 42%
68-69°F 9%
74-75°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
63°F或以下
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
48%
72-73°F
42%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F或更高
<1%
70-71°F 48%
72-73°F 42%
68-69°F 9%
74-75°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
63°F或以下
$230 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$137 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$87 交易量
2%
68-69°F
$1,234 交易量
9%
70-71°F
$400 交易量
48%
72-73°F
$2,153 交易量
42%
74-75°F
$441 交易量
4%
76-77°F
$59 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$67 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$69 交易量
<1%
82°F或更高
$2,476 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting agencies converge on a high near 70°F for San Francisco on September 17, reflecting typical September marine-layer moderation and southwest flow that limits inland warming. Slight morning drizzle potential and gradual afternoon clearing introduce modest uncertainty around the exact peak, with ensemble spreads supporting the tight clustering between 70–73°F. Recent early-month heat anomalies have given way to more seasonable conditions near the long-term average high of about 71°F, while variable coastal stratus timing and wind shifts remain the key variables that could nudge readings one bin higher or lower by resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$7,352結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting agencies converge on a high near 70°F for San Francisco on September 17, reflecting typical September marine-layer moderation and southwest flow that limits inland warming. Slight morning drizzle potential and gradual afternoon clearing introduce modest uncertainty around the exact peak, with ensemble spreads supporting the tight clustering between 70–73°F. Recent early-month heat anomalies have given way to more seasonable conditions near the long-term average high of about 71°F, while variable coastal stratus timing and wind shifts remain the key variables that could nudge readings one bin higher or lower by resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,352結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 7:56 AM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting agencies converge on a high near 70°F for San Francisco on September 17, reflecting typical September marine-layer moderation and southwest flow that limits inland warming. Slight morning drizzle potential and gradual afternoon clearing introduce modest uncertainty around the exact peak, with ensemble spreads supporting the tight clustering between 70–73°F. Recent early-month heat anomalies have given way to more seasonable conditions near the long-term average high of about 71°F, while variable coastal stratus timing and wind shifts remain the key variables that could nudge readings one bin higher or lower by resolution time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions