Recent cooler-than-average conditions across São Paulo, driven by persistent high pressure and southeasterly flow drawing maritime air, have set the stage for a minimum temperature near 14–16 °C on September 18. Ensemble guidance and official agency forecasts cluster overnight lows in this range under partly cloudy skies, supporting the market’s leading 15 °C outcome while leaving room for 9 °C or below if clearer radiational cooling develops. Historical September baselines (around 12 °C) and the month’s ongoing negative temperature anomaly reinforce trader focus on whether the current airmass will moderate or intensify before dawn, with resolution hinging on final model runs and local observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日聖保羅最低溫度?
9°C或以下 61%
19°C或以上 52%
15°C 47%
10°C 39%
9°C或以下
61%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
25%
15°C
47%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
5%
19°C或以上
52%
9°C或以下 61%
19°C或以上 52%
15°C 47%
10°C 39%
9°C或以下
61%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
25%
15°C
47%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
5%
19°C或以上
52%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 16, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent cooler-than-average conditions across São Paulo, driven by persistent high pressure and southeasterly flow drawing maritime air, have set the stage for a minimum temperature near 14–16 °C on September 18. Ensemble guidance and official agency forecasts cluster overnight lows in this range under partly cloudy skies, supporting the market’s leading 15 °C outcome while leaving room for 9 °C or below if clearer radiational cooling develops. Historical September baselines (around 12 °C) and the month’s ongoing negative temperature anomaly reinforce trader focus on whether the current airmass will moderate or intensify before dawn, with resolution hinging on final model runs and local observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions