Current weather models from NOAA and regional meteorological services point to persistent tropical moisture and cloud cover over Panama City, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures at or above 30°C on September 18. High humidity levels typical of the September wet season, combined with light winds and no incoming frontal systems, reinforce this warm bias in ensemble forecasts. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions heavily, with secondary probabilities clustering around 26–29°C reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the outlook ahead of the daily minimum observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於巴拿馬城9月18日的最低溫度？
巴拿馬城9月18日的最低溫度？
30°C或以上 90%
26°C 40%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
20°C或以下
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
23%
27°C
31%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C或以上
90%
30°C或以上 90%
26°C 40%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
21°C
$0 交易量
1%
22°C
$0 交易量
39%
23°C
$0 交易量
39%
24°C
$0 交易量
39%
25°C
$0 交易量
39%
26°C
$5 交易量
23%
27°C
$43 交易量
31%
28°C
$0 交易量
39%
29°C
$0 交易量
39%
30°C或以上
$0 交易量
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather models from NOAA and regional meteorological services point to persistent tropical moisture and cloud cover over Panama City, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures at or above 30°C on September 18. High humidity levels typical of the September wet season, combined with light winds and no incoming frontal systems, reinforce this warm bias in ensemble forecasts. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions heavily, with secondary probabilities clustering around 26–29°C reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the outlook ahead of the daily minimum observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$48結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather models from NOAA and regional meteorological services point to persistent tropical moisture and cloud cover over Panama City, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures at or above 30°C on September 18. High humidity levels typical of the September wet season, combined with light winds and no incoming frontal systems, reinforce this warm bias in ensemble forecasts. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions heavily, with secondary probabilities clustering around 26–29°C reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the outlook ahead of the daily minimum observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$48結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ETCurrent weather models from NOAA and regional meteorological services point to persistent tropical moisture and cloud cover over Panama City, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures at or above 30°C on September 18. High humidity levels typical of the September wet season, combined with light winds and no incoming frontal systems, reinforce this warm bias in ensemble forecasts. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions heavily, with secondary probabilities clustering around 26–29°C reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the outlook ahead of the daily minimum observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions