Current forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate overnight lows in Mexico City around 11–13°C for September 18, driven by moderate northerly winds, high humidity near 80–90% at dawn, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent runs show light rain potential but no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions that would push temperatures sharply lower, while daytime highs near 22°C support the balanced market-implied odds near 49–50% for both sub-5°C extremes and 15°C-plus readings. Model consensus remains sensitive to small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at local stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於墨西哥城9月18日的最低溫度？
墨西哥城9月18日的最低溫度？
5°C或以下 99%
15°C或以上 98%
13°C 40%
6°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
5°C或以下
99%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
21%
13°C
21%
14°C
39%
15°C或以上
98%
5°C或以下 99%
15°C或以上 98%
13°C 40%
6°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
5°C或以下
$0 交易量
99%
6°C
$0 交易量
39%
7°C
$0 交易量
39%
8°C
$0 交易量
39%
9°C
$0 交易量
39%
10°C
$0 交易量
39%
11°C
$0 交易量
39%
12°C
$0 交易量
21%
13°C
$3 交易量
21%
14°C
$3 交易量
39%
15°C或以上
$0 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate overnight lows in Mexico City around 11–13°C for September 18, driven by moderate northerly winds, high humidity near 80–90% at dawn, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent runs show light rain potential but no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions that would push temperatures sharply lower, while daytime highs near 22°C support the balanced market-implied odds near 49–50% for both sub-5°C extremes and 15°C-plus readings. Model consensus remains sensitive to small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$5結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate overnight lows in Mexico City around 11–13°C for September 18, driven by moderate northerly winds, high humidity near 80–90% at dawn, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent runs show light rain potential but no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions that would push temperatures sharply lower, while daytime highs near 22°C support the balanced market-implied odds near 49–50% for both sub-5°C extremes and 15°C-plus readings. Model consensus remains sensitive to small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ETCurrent forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate overnight lows in Mexico City around 11–13°C for September 18, driven by moderate northerly winds, high humidity near 80–90% at dawn, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent runs show light rain potential but no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions that would push temperatures sharply lower, while daytime highs near 22°C support the balanced market-implied odds near 49–50% for both sub-5°C extremes and 15°C-plus readings. Model consensus remains sensitive to small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at local stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions