**Clear, sunny conditions under stable high pressure are driving the strong trader consensus toward a 27°C high for Seoul/Incheon on September 16.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and multiple numerical models (including GFS) project daytime maxima of 27–28°C amid light northeast to east winds, minimal cloud cover, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 27°C (54%) over 26°C (22.5%) or 28°C (14%), reflecting tight clustering around the forecast peak. Diurnal ranges remain large due to clear overnight skies, with lows in the mid-teens supporting afternoon warming to these levels. Historical September baselines for the region sit near 24–26°C, but current synoptic patterns favor slightly above-average readings without extreme heat. Updated model runs and KMA briefings through the evening of September 15 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
9月16日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
27°C 55%
26°C 24%
28°C 15%
25°C 6%
最新
$16,611 交易量
最新
$16,611 交易量
2026-09-16
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
24%
27°C
55%
28°C
15%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
27°C 55%
26°C 24%
28°C 15%
25°C 6%
最新
$16,611 交易量
最新
$16,611 交易量
2026-09-16
22°C或以下
$484 交易量
<1%
23°C
$938 交易量
<1%
24°C
$818 交易量
1%
25°C
$1,801 交易量
6%
26°C
$3,804 交易量
24%
27°C
$3,604 交易量
55%
28°C
$2,877 交易量
15%
29°C
$1,030 交易量
4%
30°C
$680 交易量
1%
31°C
$247 交易量
<1%
32°C或以上
$329 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear, sunny conditions under stable high pressure are driving the strong trader consensus toward a 27°C high for Seoul/Incheon on September 16.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and multiple numerical models (including GFS) project daytime maxima of 27–28°C amid light northeast to east winds, minimal cloud cover, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 27°C (54%) over 26°C (22.5%) or 28°C (14%), reflecting tight clustering around the forecast peak. Diurnal ranges remain large due to clear overnight skies, with lows in the mid-teens supporting afternoon warming to these levels. Historical September baselines for the region sit near 24–26°C, but current synoptic patterns favor slightly above-average readings without extreme heat. Updated model runs and KMA briefings through the evening of September 15 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$16,611結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear, sunny conditions under stable high pressure are driving the strong trader consensus toward a 27°C high for Seoul/Incheon on September 16.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and multiple numerical models (including GFS) project daytime maxima of 27–28°C amid light northeast to east winds, minimal cloud cover, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 27°C (54%) over 26°C (22.5%) or 28°C (14%), reflecting tight clustering around the forecast peak. Diurnal ranges remain large due to clear overnight skies, with lows in the mid-teens supporting afternoon warming to these levels. Historical September baselines for the region sit near 24–26°C, but current synoptic patterns favor slightly above-average readings without extreme heat. Updated model runs and KMA briefings through the evening of September 15 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,611結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Clear, sunny conditions under stable high pressure are driving the strong trader consensus toward a 27°C high for Seoul/Incheon on September 16.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and multiple numerical models (including GFS) project daytime maxima of 27–28°C amid light northeast to east winds, minimal cloud cover, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 27°C (54%) over 26°C (22.5%) or 28°C (14%), reflecting tight clustering around the forecast peak. Diurnal ranges remain large due to clear overnight skies, with lows in the mid-teens supporting afternoon warming to these levels. Historical September baselines for the region sit near 24–26°C, but current synoptic patterns favor slightly above-average readings without extreme heat. Updated model runs and KMA briefings through the evening of September 15 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions