Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance indicate a Sunday low of 63–65°F for New York City as a warm front and surface low bring widespread showers and southeasterly flow, limiting overnight radiative cooling. This consensus places the outcome near the 62–65°F bins, yet market-implied odds remain nearly even between 55°F or below and 74°F or higher because of lingering spread in guidance on cloud cover, rainfall timing, and boundary-layer moisture that could either enhance or suppress the minimum. Historical September variability and the proximity of resolution amplify uncertainty in these near-term variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日紐約市的最低溫度?
64-65°F 30%
62-63華氏度 30%
60-61°F 19%
66-67°F 19%
55°F或以下
5%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
11%
60-61°F
19%
62-63華氏度
30%
64-65°F
30%
66-67°F
19%
68-69華氏度
11%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
5%
華氏74度或更高
5%
64-65°F 30%
62-63華氏度 30%
60-61°F 19%
66-67°F 19%
55°F或以下
5%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
11%
60-61°F
19%
62-63華氏度
30%
64-65°F
30%
66-67°F
19%
68-69華氏度
11%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
5%
華氏74度或更高
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance indicate a Sunday low of 63–65°F for New York City as a warm front and surface low bring widespread showers and southeasterly flow, limiting overnight radiative cooling. This consensus places the outcome near the 62–65°F bins, yet market-implied odds remain nearly even between 55°F or below and 74°F or higher because of lingering spread in guidance on cloud cover, rainfall timing, and boundary-layer moisture that could either enhance or suppress the minimum. Historical September variability and the proximity of resolution amplify uncertainty in these near-term variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions