**Recent NWS forecasts and model guidance position the overnight low for New York City on September 18 in the upper 60s to low 70s, driven by a post-frontal northerly flow and partial clearing after Thursday’s warmth and showers.** Northerly winds of 10–13 mph are expected to moderate radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, keeping minimum temperatures above the seasonal average low of ~61°F. Multiple short-range models cluster around 69–70°F, supporting the market’s heaviest volume on the 68–71°F bins, while slightly cooler solutions near 64°F remain possible if clearing occurs earlier than anticipated. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours, leaving trader consensus anchored to this stable, above-average temperature regime ahead of the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日紐約市的最低溫度?
70-71°F 48%
68-69華氏度 31%
72-73°F 24%
66-67°F 12%
華氏61度或以下
2%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
12%
68-69華氏度
31%
70-71°F
48%
72-73°F
24%
74-75華氏度
12%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
1%
華氏80度或以上
1%
70-71°F 48%
68-69華氏度 31%
72-73°F 24%
66-67°F 12%
華氏61度或以下
2%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
12%
68-69華氏度
31%
70-71°F
48%
72-73°F
24%
74-75華氏度
12%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
1%
華氏80度或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Recent NWS forecasts and model guidance position the overnight low for New York City on September 18 in the upper 60s to low 70s, driven by a post-frontal northerly flow and partial clearing after Thursday’s warmth and showers.** Northerly winds of 10–13 mph are expected to moderate radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, keeping minimum temperatures above the seasonal average low of ~61°F. Multiple short-range models cluster around 69–70°F, supporting the market’s heaviest volume on the 68–71°F bins, while slightly cooler solutions near 64°F remain possible if clearing occurs earlier than anticipated. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours, leaving trader consensus anchored to this stable, above-average temperature regime ahead of the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions