Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Houston on September 16 project a daytime high in the mid-90s under mostly sunny skies with light east-southeast winds and only a 20-30% chance of afternoon showers. This consensus underpins the near-even market split between the 94-95°F and 92-93°F bins, as small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or convective timing can shift the peak by a degree or two. Persistent warm advection ahead of any weak frontal passage keeps temperatures well above the 89°F climatological average, while limited moisture reduces the likelihood of widespread cooling from rain. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs plus the next NWS area forecast discussion will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日休斯敦的最高溫度？
9月16日休斯敦的最高溫度？
94-95華氏度 51%
92-93°F 28%
96-97°F 17%
98-99°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
81°F或以下
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
28%
94-95華氏度
51%
96-97°F
17%
98-99°F
9%
華氏100度或以上
6%
94-95華氏度 51%
92-93°F 28%
96-97°F 17%
98-99°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
81°F或以下
$224 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$174 交易量
1%
84-85°F
$114 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$80 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
4%
90-91°F
$124 交易量
5%
92-93°F
$1,175 交易量
28%
94-95華氏度
$492 交易量
51%
96-97°F
$104 交易量
17%
98-99°F
$0 交易量
9%
華氏100度或以上
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Houston on September 16 project a daytime high in the mid-90s under mostly sunny skies with light east-southeast winds and only a 20-30% chance of afternoon showers. This consensus underpins the near-even market split between the 94-95°F and 92-93°F bins, as small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or convective timing can shift the peak by a degree or two. Persistent warm advection ahead of any weak frontal passage keeps temperatures well above the 89°F climatological average, while limited moisture reduces the likelihood of widespread cooling from rain. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs plus the next NWS area forecast discussion will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,486結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Houston on September 16 project a daytime high in the mid-90s under mostly sunny skies with light east-southeast winds and only a 20-30% chance of afternoon showers. This consensus underpins the near-even market split between the 94-95°F and 92-93°F bins, as small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or convective timing can shift the peak by a degree or two. Persistent warm advection ahead of any weak frontal passage keeps temperatures well above the 89°F climatological average, while limited moisture reduces the likelihood of widespread cooling from rain. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs plus the next NWS area forecast discussion will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,486結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Houston on September 16 project a daytime high in the mid-90s under mostly sunny skies with light east-southeast winds and only a 20-30% chance of afternoon showers. This consensus underpins the near-even market split between the 94-95°F and 92-93°F bins, as small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or convective timing can shift the peak by a degree or two. Persistent warm advection ahead of any weak frontal passage keeps temperatures well above the 89°F climatological average, while limited moisture reduces the likelihood of widespread cooling from rain. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs plus the next NWS area forecast discussion will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions